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Clippers 120 - Portland 112

Funny story.

I went to a Christmas party with the ClipperWidow tonight at her yoga studio.  When I got back about 10:30, I turned on the TV, and before the picture had even warmed up, I heard Milph for just a few seconds.  Something in the tone made me believe that the Clippers had lost a close game.  Obviously, we all know that I was wrong, and it was the tone of exhaustion after a close win or something like that.  But I misinterpreted it.  I guess I'm just not used to any winning tone.

Anyway, I didn't see any score, or hear anything specific.  But I kind of just felt in my gut that the Clippers had lost another close one.  I mentioned this to the ClipperWidow, and she said "Fast forward to the end, let's see if you're right."  Normally I wouldn't do that, but she was showing an interest in my hobby, so I thought, OK.  I went to the end of the program.

But I only went to the scheduled end of the game.  And sure enough, it shows 97-94 with less than 10 seconds left and Blake shooting free throws.  I conclude that I was absolutely correct, and go back to watching the game, curious to see exactly how they would manage to lose.

So I watched most of the game with what I believed to be the knowledge that the Clippers had lost.  Which of course made every missed free throw, every loose ball, every call that didn't go the Clippers way, all the more frustrating.

And the fact that Baron Davis threw the ball away with 8 seconds left was the real killer.  Here Blake had given them a gift, and Baron, who was supposed to be the clutch end of game scorer the team had never had, throws the ball away.  How very not clutch.  I was pissed.  So imagine my surprise when he gets a chance to redeem himself and nails a tough three at the buzzer to send the game into OT.

Now, at this point I'm still very, very worried.  I'd wrongly assumed that the game had ended in regulation.  But maybe I was still right about the 'tone' of a close loss I thought I had detected.  Baron's three to open the OT, which of course invoked Lawler's Law, wasn't even enough to calm my nerves.  The Clippers have allowed other teams to break the Law on many occasions (although I can't ever remember the Clippers managing to do so).

Then, when it became obvious that no one on the Clippers could stop Brandon Roy, I once again became convinced that the Clippers were going to lose.

Happily, I was wrong.  The Clippers won, and it was the game of the season for the team.  You know, Mike Smith said some sort of crap in his pre-game 'Keys' about how a win in Portland could start the team on a streak.  Could it happen?  Could Mike Smith be right?

But between the party and watching a double OT game on TiVo, it's really late, and I'm not going to be able to give this recap the attention it deserves.  Too bad the team doesn't have 3 days off after that game - we'd be spending the down time talking about making the playoffs and such, rather than obsessing about firing the coach and trading Kaman.  As it is, we've got Houston tomorrow night - hardly any time at all to savor this one.

A few random thoughts:

  • Just a great game. 
  • Brandon Roy is really, really good.  Did I already mention that?  Man, he's good. 
  • Mardy Collins, as we feared, is becoming MDsr's new favorite wing defender.  As it happens, he matches up well against Roy, so it's pretty hard to argue with it in this game.  But he missed an absolute layup, and then completely bricked two free throws, in the fourth quarter.  Quinton Ross could make his layups and his free throws.
  • Why was Baron on Roy for the last two possessions of the first OT?  Mardy was in the game, so why not use him?  The better question of course is why did the Clippers not double Roy at that point.  They went to the early double in the second OT, and ended up running away with the game when they did.  After Orlando's win in Portland on Tuesday, it started to look like you had to double Roy down the stretch.  After tonight, it's in every single team's playbook.
  • On consecutive possessions in the first OT, the Clippers got a switch on the high pick and roll, and ended up with Roy defending Z-Bo in the post.  Each time, Camby got him the ball.  And Zach missed one layup, and then Roy blocked the next one (though Zach did get the ball back and subsequently convert a couple of free throws).  You have to remember, I was still convinced the Clippers were going to lose at this point, so I was looking for the things they did wrong down the stretch.  At any rate, I'd like to see Zach finish stronger there - and also, Brandon Roy is really, really good.
  • Rudy Fernandez is good too.  But it is interesting that Roy's dominance of the ball in late game situations seems to take everyone else out of the flow.  It's worth noting that Roy set his season high for the third consecutive game - and the Blazers lost all three.  They are 0-3 when he scores 30 or more.  Nate McMillan should probably make a note of that.
  • I thought Milph was pretty harsh on Greg Oden.  After all, he scored 15 points and grabbed 15 rebounds - not too shabby.  Obviously the expectations for the guy were so sky high that he's having trouble living up to them.  But I will admit, he doesn't look smooth.  Did we not suggest on this here blog that Oden was going to be hard pressed to be an upgrade over Przybilla?  Milph felt convinced that the Blazers were better tonight with Przybilla, and it's hard to argue the point. 
  • Zach Randolph is playing incredibly well.  He was rusty in his first game as a Clipper, but in the seven games since then he's scored at least 21 in every single one, and he's averaging 25 in that time.  But the thing that's truly unexpected is the shooting percentage.  A career 46.5% shooter, he's 74 for 143 in the last seven games - 53%.  It's really good to get a win, as I just had the feeling that we were really wasting some great games from Z-Bo. 
  • It doesn't matter now, but the out of bounds call that went against the Clippers in the fourth quarter was just terrible.  I have no idea how any one official could possibly have missed that call, let alone three.  I mean, the laws of physics pretty much dictated that the ball was off of Aldridge.  It ended up in the 6th row, and Aldridge was the only player slapping at it.  Really, really bad.  Inexcusable. 
  • Steve Blake was 31 for 33 from the line coming into the game.  He missed 4 free throws in the final 20 seconds of regulation.  So let's just remember that the next time we're saying that the Clippers never get any breaks.  The odds of a 94% free throw shooter missing 4 of 5 are something like 1 in 10,000, if my back of the napkin math is right. 
  • So what do we think of Baron now?  27 points on 29 shots is not in fact particularly good.  But he's certainly willing to take the big shots, and tonight, he hit a few (including the absolutely biggest one). 
  • Of course, this game may take a toll on the next one.  Back to backs are tough.  The second game of a back to back after a double OT game in which 4 players logged at least 43 minutes is brutal.

This Clippers team is fun to watch.  Much more fun than they were a couple of weeks ago.  They're certainly a far cry from the Golden State style running team, but they'll run when the get the chance.  And there are some good passers and some good shooters out there on the floor.  It's obviously a lot more fun to win, but remember:  I watched most of the game thinking the team was going to lose, and I was still enjoying it.  Of course, that was an unusually well played game.  As Blazer Dave said in his FanPost, Portland wasn't giving the Clippers anything.  But the Clippers went out a took away a win.

I'm tired.  The Rockets preview may be a little late.

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They won a game?

Hard to believe.

Kind of a classic zhiv as well. I thought I set my tivo for the extra hour. Like CS and I’m sure a lot of the rest of us, as I was watching the game I was trying to figure out exactly how the Clippers were going to lose. It seemed inevitable. Mardy Collins misses the layup. The refs badly miss the out of bounds call. I thought it was over and did Tivo2 through Blake missing the free throws, so I was shocked that the Clippers were coming down the court with a chance to tie. Then Baron stumbles and throws the ball away—Portland is definitely going to win this game. But Baron gets a shot a redemption, Fernandez bites on the head fake, and Baron nails the 3 and we’re going to overtime. Except me, as my tivo runs out at that point.

It being late, I head over to the computer and see that the Clips have actually won the game. I was especially surprised that they did it in a second overtime—with the momentum of finally hitting a big shot, I would have thought that if they were going to win it would be by keeping up the pressure and finishing them off. And my guess is that some were watching and thinking that the Clips would find a way to lose in the 2nd overtime.

So now, after precious victory #5, we can say it again: this is, shockingly and absurdly, a pretty good team, and they can be fun to watch. Of course, it’s no fun to watch a team blow healthy 4th quarter leads and lose games. But there’s a lot to like, and it seems like last night confirms our belief that the Clips will figure out a way to win 25 games, and they could get hot and even win a few more than that. And that’s winning 20 or more out of 60, which is a lot better than winning 4 out of 21.

A few observations, starting with Zach Randolph. CS notes that he’s shooting at a torrid pace. I was a little surprised at the discrepancy, I guess because he’s making it look so easy and natural, and I knew he was always a gifted offensive player. But I think he must be energized by getting a new start with the Clippers, he likes his role on the team, and he has to be pretty happy playing in Dunleavy’s system and taking EB’s spot. Then you have him also hitting 3 pointers and getting rebounds. Quite frankly, this trade now looks like a spectacular upgrade for the Clippers and a perfect fit. My excitement about it now is exactly the opposite of my horror and disgust when it first happened. Shows what I know. What’s the downside of a guy who seems to hit virtually every shot, gets all of the same junk around the basket that EB used to get, and he gets a whole lot of rebounds too. I’m not really seeing the downside in any way. And Paul Davis comes off the bench and hustles and makes plays, instead of TT. It would all be too good to be true, except for the fact that the Clips have found some excrutiating ways to lose during ZBo’s brief tenure. But after a win and a 38 point outing, it’s pretty sweet. And it will be fun to speculate on how things should work when Kaman comes back. Let’s not forget that the Clips are playing well and doing a little bit of actual damage with the guy who was clearly their best player last year out of action. More potential excitement.

Mardy Collins is another element of the trade, and I gotta say that I can’t complain. The Clips really didn’t have a solid perimeter defender, although Gordon was showing some signs and Gordon did a good enough job on Roy at times during the first three quarters. But it’s good to have Collins on the roster, I think, even though we know that Dunleavy will be highly susceptible to misusing him. I like the flow of his game, and his ballhandling and penetration seems okay, and he’s just a solid athlete and defender out there. With all that, maybe the best thing about him is that he wasn’t, I don’t think, a 20 ppg scorer in college, so there’s never going to be a sense that he might become something that he’s not. He has no upside; he is what he is, and it’s something that the Clippers didn’t really have before the trade. And the timing is nice in that Gordon is getting his minutes and shots and going through his growing pains already in the early part of a lost season, and there’s no chance that Collins will replace him as a starter. Again, like with Kaman, working Ricky Davis with a healthy knee into the rotation is another issue, but if it’s handled correctly that could be a high class problem.

I could say more about Gordon and Paul Davis, but I think we get it. And I still believe that BD will get better as the team gels and gets better and plays with more enthusiasm. And let’s not forget the excellence of Marcus Camby—Milph certainly won’t let us do that; they love the guy.

Go Clippers! Hard to believe that they’ll beat Houston tonight, so let’s just enjoy basking in the glow of a victory for a few hours.

by citizen zhiv on Dec 13, 2008 9:11 AM PST reply actions  

great post

ZBo is a great fit for MDSr, and MDSr seems to know how to maximize his effectiveness. I don’t know how things will workout with Kaman coming back, but ZBo is clearly their best payer offensively and should not have his minutes scaled back.

Nice zinger with the 20PPG scorer. According to ESPN, 16.8 PPG in 2005-2006.

I love LAC.

by oasisman on Dec 13, 2008 9:50 AM PST up reply actions  

Not to downgrade the great victory....

….but the the Clips had most of the week off and the Blazers were on a back to back, so the second overtime had to have found the Blazers out of gas. Tonight both teams will have played the night before, albeit not a double overtime for the Rockets.

by saxmanager on Dec 13, 2008 10:14 AM PST reply actions  

Mr. sunshine!

Roy was tired, and also dealing with a possibly dislocated finger by the end. But he made 4 or 5 insanely difficult shots in the OTs, so it’s hard to argue that the Blazers just ran out of gas…. maybe in the final 3 minutes of 58 minutes of clock time, but that still leaves the Clippers playing even with a good team on the road. The fact that they came away with the W is the icing on the cake.

If you really want to devalue the win, just talk about Steve Blake. The game certainly should not have gone past regulation. But things happen, and the Clippers missed 3 free throws of their own down the stretch, not to mention the layup. So it evens out… and I’ll take the win.

In this world, you must be oh so smart or oh so pleasant. Well, for years I was smart. I recommend pleasant. - Elwood P. Dowd

by Steve Perrin on Dec 13, 2008 10:39 AM PST up reply actions  

As a blazers fan

i say great win Clips fans. I’ve always like Dunleavy and although I’m not a Zach fan, with B Diddy on that team – this looks like the makings of a good roster. Good luck with Houston.

when i get sad, i stop being sad & become awesome again. true story.

by Net Ranger on Dec 13, 2008 11:18 AM PST reply actions  

Thanks NR

It was a great game. That’s two tough home losses for you guys this week. But in the end, you’re going to be OK… Sometimes those last second threes go in, but usually they don’t.

In this world, you must be oh so smart or oh so pleasant. Well, for years I was smart. I recommend pleasant. - Elwood P. Dowd

by Steve Perrin on Dec 13, 2008 2:22 PM PST up reply actions  

That elusive 50% FG

We were close last night at 47…and after a quick glance at the box score, I noticed that all of our guys shot at a very high percentage, except for two players: Baron and Mardy.
Those two guys shot 36 for the game…the rest of the guys shot 52%.

by MichaelCage on Dec 13, 2008 2:41 PM PST reply actions  

Still amazed

I turned the game off when Baron threw the ball away. It was with complete shock when I read the paper this morning and saw we had won. Blake missed two more! Unbelievable, but the biggest shock is that we actually got a shot off as time ran off.

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Dec 13, 2008 7:22 PM PST reply actions  

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