Clamouring for Maggette
First of all, the article is from the Toronto Sun, where they speak British English. Americans would of course be Clamoring for Maggette.
Hat tip to Citizen supac who included this link on Citizen John R's FanShot. The gist: there ain't enough room in Toronto for TJ Ford and a re-signed, more expensive Jose Calderon, and the author mentions Maggette by name as a possible prize in exchange for Calderon.
A few things off the top of my head:
- Depending on how this might actually go down, it's hard to imagine a better outcome for the Clippers this off-season. I've never suggested this myself for fear of looking too much like an unrealistic homer.
- It's not news that Toronto has a logjam at point guard. T.J. Ford has been a starter the vast majority of his NBA career. Meanwhile, Jose Calderon stepped into the starter's role when Ford went down and simply posted a PER of 20.73, 24th in the league and 4th among point guards behind All Stars (and MVP candidates) Chris Paul, Chauncey Billups and Steve Nash. Oh, and Ford's PER of 20.59 ranks him 25th. In a league with a dearth of quality point guards, they've got two.
- Ford just finished the first year of a 4/$33M contract. Calderon is a restricted free agent. Yes, Toronto can match any offer, but are they willing to tie up $15M or $16M per year in a single position? Are they willing to have a backup that's paid $8M?
- What is news is that Calderon is being so open with his "I want to start" talk. Still, it shouldn't really be a surprise.
I always assumed that Ford would be the one they moved, and they may well try. But Ford has a disquieting injury history (to say the least) not to mention that Calderon is bigger (6'3" vs. 6'0") and a better outside shooter (43% from three vs. 29%) so there's little doubt that the Spaniard will bring more in trade.
Interestingly, although I've contemplated Maggette for Ford in a S&T, I've ignored Maggette for Calderon. Like I said, I was probably afraid of being accused of wishful thinking. But now that it's out there, it's a tantalizing thought. For one thing, I've never really considered that Toronto might be 'clamouring' for the guy. But on reflection, it is an awfully good fit. Chris Bosh is the Raptors best scorer at 22.3 per game. Their second best? Anthony Parker at 12.5. And Ford and Calderon are 4 and 5, so if you deal one of them you'd better get a scorer back. No other team in the league has such an anemic second option (although Seattle comes close and the generic Clippers were pretty close too) - and the vast majority of teams have three or four players scoring over 13. So yes, Toronto could use another go to scorer, pretty desperately.
Over and above that, while Bryan Colangelo has willfully built a team of shooters north of the border, it's time to consider the possibility that it's been a mistake. The Raptors were 32-24 on 2/27, and fell all the way to 38-39 on April 5th, a dismal 6-15 during that stretch. Only some gimmes in their last 5 let them climb back to .500 on the season. At which point they were handled pretty easily (4 games to 1) by a less than stellar Orlando team in the first round of the playoffs. So there's little question that changes are needed, and maybe a guy like Maggette driving into the lane is exactly what they need as an alternative to all those guys standing around the three point arc. The fact that he actually made 38% of his threes this year helps a lot, since Colangelo is unlikely to ever renounce is penchant for shooters.
It's hard to know what Calderon will command. I'm also pretty sure that both players will have base year compensation issues in any trade assuming they get the money they're looking for. I suppose, in theory, having BYC players on BOTH sides of the S&T makes it easier to complete the trade, but it certainly complicates the situation for the purposes of a quick post on a blog. My head hurts just thinking about it.
For the Clippers, it's hard to imagine a better fit. A good shooter and distributor, who has decent size, and doesn't dominate the ball. He'd be content to run the offense through Brand and Kaman, and able to stick the three if the defense doubles down. Comparing Calderon to Ford from the Clippers' perspective it's not even close - even ignoring the injury history. Ford is small, while the Clippers' only primary points from last season are both below 6'0". Ford has no range, while the Clippers need shooters to spread the floor for their low post players. Ford's most effective in a drive and kick offense, with a spread floor, while the Clippers want to play a traditional low post set and don't have shooters to kick to at any rate.
Having said all that, if the Raptors choose to keep Calderon and are determined to move Ford, I'd give up Cat Mobley for him.
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Dunleavy
You know dunleavy would do this trade in a heartbeat. From what I’ve seen from Calderon, he’s a leader on the court, willing to play tough nosed d, willing to sacrifice his starting spot for team success, has GREAT basketball IQ, he is everything that dunleavy wanted from maggette. To get this type of player for maggette dunleavy would approve it immediately. Now the only question is trying to convice sterling, who would probably rather keep maggette than have a boring, non atheletic type like calderon
by clipschamps on May 17, 2008 4:06 PM PDT 0 recs
There are problems
I don’t think Sterling is among the biggest issues. The Clippers so clearly need a quality point guard that I think he’d welcome it, even if it meant parting with his favorite Clipper.
But I still haven’t gotten my head around the base year compensation problem. Since the trade has to work in both directions, and both players stand to be BYC players, that’s like 4 different ways that the salary cap math has to work, I think. That’s going to be TOUGH. I’ll do some more checking (or maybe Citizen John R or another capologist can chime in) and try to get an update. My immediate reaction is that Calderon’s cap number for the Raptors is going to be pretty small (because he’s currently making less than $2.5M and looking for a big raise) so the Raptors are going to have to throw in some other salary. But that good very well scuttle the trade on the Clippers’ side, depending on how big a raise Maggette gets. This trade is not easy, unless I’m misunderstanding the BYC rules.
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by ClipperSteve on
May 17, 2008 5:07 PM PDT
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Let's see here...
Strictly talking a two team deal…
The Math on Corey has already been done. I’m working from Hoopshype since your shamsports is returning 500 errors this morning.
Assuming Corey gets his $10M contract and he becomes BYC:
Outgoing value = $10M
Incoming value = $7.8M
Again he could take less to be traded for more.
What do we think Calderon is worth and can get? He’s a very good, but under the radar PG. $8M to start? That’s a hefty raise and it is much more than the mid-level without just throwing money at him.
Calderon at $8M is also a BYC player, but his situation is worse:
Outgoing value = $8M
Incoming value = $4M
Uh oh. So bottom line when Calderon gets his hefty raise, the Raptors will need to send out extra salary to get Maggette. But not too much since the Clippers can only take on $9.85M in return. So what happens if we add the cheapest other Raptor? I won’t count Jamario Moon since it seems impossible they would include him, all things considered.
Toronto sends out Maceo Baston at $1.97M next season:
Toronto outgoing value = $9.97M
Clippers can accept $7.8M * 1.25 + 0.1 = $9.85M
Clippers outgoing value = $10M
Toronto can accept $5.97M * 1.25 + 0.1 = $7.6M
So it still fails both ways. It gets better if Maggette doesn’t become a BYC player as I noted in my fanpost, assuming hoopshype is close on the salaries.
If Maggette takes a slightly lower salary ($9.4M vs $10M, call it the get away from mean ol man Dunleavy tax):
Outgoing value = $9.4M
Incoming value = $9.4M
So now only the Raptors have the BYC problem. So lets work backwards. The Raptors need to be able to accept $9.4M in salary.
($9.4 – 0.1) / 1.25 = $7.44M
If the Raptors have to send out $3.44M in addition to the $4 credit they get for Calderon, they could sign-and-trade Kris Humphries for $3M and give Calderon a tiny bit more. I think it would need to be $8.88M for Calderon then. If the Raptors sent over $3M in the deal (max legal in the rules) they would basically be kicking Humphries to the Clippers for free. So lets check the math.
Total Raptors outgoing = $11.88M
Clippers can accept $9.4M * 1.25 + 0.1 = $11.85M
Total Clippers outgoing = $9.4M
Raptors can accept ($3 + $4.4) * 1.25 + 0.1 = $9.35
Holy crap I made that almost work. I’m not going fret over $10k each way since we don’t know if the sites are accurate, but it looks like there is a framework and everything I have proposed is legit. As far as I know.
So the question is, do the Clippers and Raptors both like the trade of Maggette straight up for Calderon and the throw-in of Humphries? All of the players are sign-and-trade so they all effectively have no-trade clauses too. Would Maggette pay his Freedom Tax? I don’t think this deal can get done without it. Will Humphries take a basically one year deal for $3M?
by John R on
May 19, 2008 9:55 AM PDT
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Yeah, it's a bear
Thanks for verifying my initial reaction, that it’s a pretty damn tough trade. As you say, basically impossible if Maggette wants his full pay day.
A few other thoughts -
Humphries is already signed for three more years. The problem is the terms were never disclosed so HoopsHype, ShamSports, no one seems to know his salary next season. But it’s probably about $3M. So your basic idea is still correct – but he would not have to sign first.
If Calderon gets paid LESS, the trade gets easier, same as Maggette. Calderon is pretty much destined to be BYC regardless – a 20% increase from his current salary only takes him to around $3M, and he’s clearly going to get at least the MLE. But the smaller the salary, the smaller the discrepancy between his incoming value and his outgoing value. Not a huge difference, but as your final calculation shows, every little bit is going to help if this is possible.
The other thing that makes it more workable is by throwing in other players on both sides. Now, it may seem counterintuitive to say that a multi-player deal is easier than a straight up swap, but basically by increasing the total salaries on both sides, the fudge factor (matching within 1.25x) gets bigger.
So… toss in Rasho Nesterovic and Cat Mobley, and the math will probably work. The Clippers of course don’t want Rasho and the Raptors probably don’t want Cat, so in that sense, it doesn’t make the trade any more likely. But it would help the math work. Adding Tim Thomas and Jason Kapono would have a similar effect.
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by ClipperSteve on
May 19, 2008 10:20 AM PDT
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Rasho and Mobley
Raptors outgoing: $8M + $7.8M = $15.8M
Clippers could accept: ($7.8M + $9.1M) * 1.25 + 0.1 = $21.2M
No problem
Clippers outgoing: $10M + $9.1M = $19.1M
Raptors could accept: ($4M + $7.8M) * 1.25 + 0.1 = $14.85M
No good.
Adding another Clippers gives much more room go boost up Calderon though. Would you pay him $10M?
If you make Calderon a $10M man too and swap in Thomas for Mobley it almost works. It then easily works if Corey takes the slightly small deal.
Is Toronto agreeable to parting with Rasho too? Would the Clippers need to throw in a pick? Is that still a good deal? Its very interesting since it seems Rasho would become an expiring contract. I think I’d do it and throw in a future lottery protected first. Its a little more money next year, but it would get them out of Thomas’ contract one year earlier. I think you try to move that Rasho contract then and throw the 2010 plan out the window.
You do this plan, then flip Rasho for Miller straight up. I’d throw in this year’s lottery pick for that.
Calderon/Miller/Thornton/Brand/Kaman
Livingston/Mobley/Ross/Powell/Fazekas
Knight/MLE
LOL@ Pie in the sky.
by John R on
May 19, 2008 11:08 AM PDT
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BTW on the BYC
The BYC rule is pretty crazy stupid. I mean, I understand the spirit and what they’re trying to do. But in this case, where both teams are interested in signing and trading, there’s no reason for it. Neither team is circumventing cap rules. They’re just negotiating fair contracts for their players, which then would make sense in a trade. There’s not reason the NBA should not allow a Calderon at $8M straight up for Maggette at $10M, if the teams and the players and the agents are all happy with it. My first logical thought was ‘if both players are BYC, it should be easier.’ And Spirit of the Law, I think that’s true. But Letter of the Law, it’s much, much tougher.
Another thing that makes no sense is the fact that a player can get the 20% raise without kicking in the BYC, but if they get say, a 21% raise, their salary number in any trade reverts back to the old salary. Why wouldn’t it be 20% over the old salary? If that is indeed a ‘reasonable’ raise, then the team should be allowed to use that number.
But now I’m picking nits.
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by ClipperSteve on
May 19, 2008 10:42 AM PDT
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Calderon for Magette would be a huge trade for the Clips. Feel that Calderon is underrated due to the lack of national attention the Raptors receive. Put him in LA and I think he can become a top five point guard in the league. Really knows how to run a team and can stick open jumpshots.
by justin3007 on May 19, 2008 7:23 AM PDT 0 recs
Calderon would be a great get
How about Portland? Dont they have some youngs PGs as well?
by mikey p on May 19, 2008 10:11 AM PDT 0 recs
Unproven
It’s a measure of how bad the Clippers’ points are that ClipsNation looks at Portland and thinks, ‘Wow, look at those great point guards.’ Meanwhile, up in Portland, they’re saying ‘Damn, we’d be really good if our point guards didn’t suck.’
Steve Blake, Jarrett Jack, Sergio Rodriguez… these are OK players, and they might even look OK compared to Brevin Knight and Dan Dickau (although I argued that Brevin was at least as good as Blake last off-season, and the Clippers got Knight for less). But none of those guys are the ‘answer’ with the possible exception of Rodriguez whose never really gotten much burn but he looks pretty good at times.
Interestingly, depending on how much we get to see Spain play in Beijing, we’ll get to compare Sergio directly to Calderon this summer. It’s long been thought that Sergio is better than Calderon and was the point guard of the future for Team Spain. So there’s that.
Portland also has a first rounder stashed in Finland, Peteri Kopenen.
But as of now, the people in Portland are looking at their point guards and saying ‘Either we have to move Roy to the point full time, or we need a major upgrade, because these guys aren’t the answer.’ In fact, Portland is one of the teams very interested in Calderon.
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by ClipperSteve on
May 19, 2008 10:29 AM PDT
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Look there for depth
They have a roster crunch and they will probably move (or even cut) one or more of their points. So it’s a good place to look for a second or third stringer. But there are no answers up there.
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by ClipperSteve on
May 19, 2008 1:17 PM PDT
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This one would work...
Clippers sign Maggette to start at $9.7M. A nice raise over his current salary of $7M, and more than the extension the Clippers offered him last summer. Very likely more than anyone is going to offer him in free agency.
The Raptors sign Calderon to start at $7.5M. About a 25% premium above the MLE. He may or may not get a better offer somewhere. Hard to say.
Both players become BYC players for trade purposes. Corey is $7M from the Clippers, and $9.7M to the receiving team. Calderon is $3.75M from the Raptors, and $7.5M to the receiving team.
The Clippers then trade Maggette and Tim Thomas to the Raptors for Calderon, Jason Kapono and Kris Humphries. This trade squeaks under the wire in both directions. Give Maggette any more money, and it doesn’t work. Give Calderon any more money, and it doesn’t work.
The Clippers would do this trade, I think, even though Kapono is signed for more years than Thomas. Specifically, Kapono and Humphries both hurt any 2010 free agency strategy, since Thomas was coming off the books then.
The Raptors might like the idea of fewer years for Thomas than Kapono. Hard to say.
But the conclusion is this trade is really, really hard to get done because of the BYC rules.
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by ClipperSteve on May 19, 2008 11:11 AM PDT 0 recs
Eye of the beholder
But it’s hard to imagine that Toronto was thrilled with paying him $5.3M last season, while playing him 19 minutes per game.
One crude measure of value is to look at salary rank on the team, versus minutes per game on the team. Chris Bosh makes the most, plays the most, scores the most. It doesn’t mean he’s not over or underpaid, but at least in relation to the other Raptors, it makes sense. Kapono is the fourth highest paid Raptor – and ninth in minutes per game and points per game. Here’s another indicator. The Raptors invested $24M in Kapono last summer. Then Jamario Moon, a 27 year old rookie they invited to camp on a make good minimum rookie contract and who had played in every minor league on the planet, ended up being the full time starter at small forward. Someone somewhere is disappointed. As far as I can tell, Kapono does one thing very, very well. And basically nothing else.
I certainly consider it a bad contract. I wouldn’t want it, but if it were the price to get Calderon, I’d probably take it on. And he does serve a purpose.
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by ClipperSteve on
May 19, 2008 1:15 PM PDT
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A Few Thoughts
—Don’t overpay anybody. There’s a fair and reasonable number in our heads for most players, and sometimes a 10-15% premium might kick in, but it’s really important not to make a mistake. The number for Maggette seems to be 9-10 and no more, and it’s fairly obvious. But you also have a pretty good idea of what you’re going to get for that money. Calderon seems like he’s much more of a question mark. Yes, he’s in shape to make some real money. He would be a very nice piece, but wouldn’t 8m be an awful lot? The numbers could be a little softer if it might be possible to do a Chris Wilcox 3-year deal. Not that this would happen, but you don’t want Calderon to somehow turn into Marko Jaric overnight.
—I know it’s addressed in the post (not rereading it now), but if it’s so obvious to us that Calderon is the guy and we have virtually no interest in TJFord (especially on a team with BKnight next year), doesn’t Toronto get this?
—How does Beno Udrih measure up in this equation? Are they roughly the same guy, after the same type of money, or has Calderon pushed himself ahead?
—And assuming that Sac will keep Udrih as the pg of the future, even though we know the Clips are interested in him, what do you see as the timing of all of this, in July I guess it would be? The deals always seem to be like dominoes, with the big guys going first or some of the deals happening quickly. We remember how MD went bam-bam on Tim Thomas replacing Radman, which definitely looked like there was a strategy in place. Then we have the Clips waiting around for Steve Francis and dodging that bullet. Will the Clips be waiting around to see what might happen with BDavis, Arenas, or something complicated, along with what’s happening with EB and, more complex, Maggs, and then the solid second tier PGs are gone.
by citizen zhiv on May 19, 2008 4:11 PM PDT 0 recs
A few responses
The general consensus out there, and it may be group think which is always a danger, is that Calderon is a lot better than Udrih – that Calderon has a chance to be a top tier point guard, while Udrih’s ceiling is probably ‘solid starter’.
The ‘advanced stats’ seem to support this. Calderon’s PER was 20.5, after posting 19 last season. Udrih was a below average 13.3. A lot of this comes from the way they handle the ball. Calderon had an other-worldly assist rate above 43 (second in the league, better than Chris Paul and Steve Nash among others) , and his assist to turnover ratio was over 5, leading the league.
Ford’s relative value is certainly an issue to Toronto, but there are a couple of factors. For one thing, Ford’s injury history means that they’ll only get low ball offers. The may sell high on Calderon, and cross their fingers and hope that Ford stays healthy. For another, while Ford is a bad match for the Clippers, he’s a very good match for Toronto. Don’t forget that he started this season as the Raptors starter, and it’s not like Calderon just got to town (like I said, a 19 PER last season is damn good). Ford’s strength is penetrate and kick – a good fit with shooters all over the arc in Toronto.
The domino question is always valid. Too many moving pieces to contemplate. In fact one of the biggest ones stops moving with the lottery tomorrow. If they get the number 1 pick, then Calderon is un hombre olvidado in Clips Nation.
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by ClipperSteve on
May 19, 2008 4:32 PM PDT
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Amazingly
Both responses are stamped 4:32 PM, but mine appears first. I guess blog owner counts in the sort sequence.
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by ClipperSteve on
May 19, 2008 4:39 PM PDT
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$8M
Calderon crushes Udrih. Udrih is a nice piece, but with him Livvy is your starter next year, no question.
I came up with 8M based on mostly what you said. The mid-level is going to be about $5.5M. He’ll get offered that. He’s at an important position and he is far above average, making him a rare commodity. I also factored in that Toronto knows how good he is, so you do have to outbid them. Maybe 10% premium more than they are comfortable paying to make it a no-brainer that they are better off with Corey. But PER and WP48 agree on the guy. He is secretly(?) a big stud at the point. There will be a team kicking themselves for not offering him $11M before his next contract is up. Or he could implode, of course.
I’d be more afraid at not getting in now at $8M or even $9M than watching his stock rise due to increased exposure and him being effectively off the market for his career.
With Calderon I’d feel very comfortable moving Livvy into a swiss army knife role. He can then back up the 1, 2 or 3 as matchups, injuries or the whims of ol’ man Dunleavy require.
As for timing, the lottery is tomorrow. If the Clippers win big, you might see those sparks flying already with a free agent Maggette and a high pick on the table. But yeah, if there isn’t a home run born out of the lottery, everyone will probably sit back. Even Carmelo is available now it seems, so there are many dominoes to fall before you get to the likes of Beno.
by John R on
May 19, 2008 4:32 PM PDT
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Agreed
There was a time when I thought Calderon would get $10M, and if more teams had money to spend, I think he might. But, like Maggette, the BYC rules don’t favor him getting that money even if someone out there is willing to pay him that money. The only way he hits the lottery is if a team under the cap wants to pay him big. Could happen, but there just aren’t that many teams under the cap.
I LOVE the idea of Livingston playing some one, some two, some three. A while ago I decided that his ceiling is Scottie Pippen, not Magic Johnson. He has a better chance to be a difference maker on defense, with any offense being gravy. So you make him the perimeter stopper, who also happens to be a nightmare matchup. It’s not a bad thing.
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by ClipperSteve on
May 19, 2008 4:38 PM PDT
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You gotta get Calderon in on the sell
You have to put him in a viable position to make a credible threat to take the one year qualifying offer and become unrestricted next year. He is already unhappy; give him more reason to be unhappier. When Toronto offers to extend him at just over the mid-level, make the mid-level and insult. The trick is offering just enough to make Toronto uncomfortable without blowing the budget.
So teams even over the cap will be offering to slightly overpay, methinks. The Clippers just happen to have the contracts and talent to make a legit deal.
by John R on
May 19, 2008 4:49 PM PDT
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Livingston
It’s probably important to figure out a few different roles for Livingston, just to keep expectations in line, and I like where this is going. It seems impossible to come up with comparisons and floors and ceilings when we really don’t know anything at this point. But one thing that we do know are the available rosters spots and what the Clips are looking to fill. So what if we think of Livingston as taking-ahem!-QRoss’ spot? He might not be quite as solid an on-ball defender, especially coming off the catastrophic injury, but he might be able to do a lot of the other defensive stuff very well. This obviously lowers the offensive expectations down to zero, and Liv should be able to beat that on passing and court vision alone. The basic idea is that if you “take the chance” that Liv is your 2-3 and big PGs defensive stopper (and some will say that Q never really stopped anybody, but we can give him some credit, at least as a defender), you still need a #1 pg and an SG/shooter to supplement Mobley. Liv then gets to do whatever he can do, and just has to play some good defense some of the time. It’s important to remember that the best case with Liv is that he has a decent comeback year, and if he stays healthy in 08-09 he could be pretty good in 09-10, but there’s going to be a curve to it. It would be nice if Liv would sign a 3-year deal that follows this formula-pay him what QRoss would get after 3 years of extended minutes, a great effort, and very little offensive production-but that might be a stretch.
by citizen zhiv on May 19, 2008 6:12 PM PDT 0 recs
Watching the Playoffs
Where would we be without Clipper Steve? I haven’t watched very much of the playoffs, but CS clued me into the fact that CP is a punk of sorts. I might have seen some kind of questionable play earlier in the playoffs, or I’m remembering things from the CS post. At any rate, I came home and turned on the game and within seconds CP and MFinley were going for the ball and CP finished the play by raising his hand into Finley’s face. Not a shocker, no comment-although Reggie Miller noted that Finley got a nice shot from CP-but the interesting thing is that Finley, the old Spurs pro, promptly buried two three pointers, and then Horry hit one and the Spurs were maintaining the edge that they needed to win the game. Very strangely, I found myself rooting for the Spurs, and looking at all of CP hijinks askance, while happily watching Bruce Bowen hack people and Ginobili fly around, and Tony Parker hit the shot to seal it.
I want the Spurs to beat the Lakers. And Detroit to beat the Celtics. And then I won’t watch any of the Finals. But I wonder, without CS making me think twice about Chris Paul, wouldn’t I have been rooting against the “boring” Spurs and hoping for the upstarts to take down the champs? Go Spurs.
Trying to think about how to tie this into the thread, and I also have a couple of comments on the draft and don’t want to start a diary. Oh well.
by citizen zhiv on May 19, 2008 8:23 PM PDT 0 recs
Draft Comments
Danilo seems to be moving up on one of the boards, and Brook Lopez is dropping. It doesn’t seem as if Bayless (or Mayo) will drop to the Clippers, and I’ve seen an active discussion of whether the Clips should take Westbrook, Gordon, or Lopez in order to trade him (or as Brand insurance). Of course I would rather draft Love instead of Lopez, and Westbrook instead of Gordon. I think Westbrook would be a fine addition to the Clips—I’m sure everybody would like his hustle, athleticism, defense, and all around game. But with regards to the above Livingston-Calderon discussion, in 08-09 Westbrook is going to be a Daniel Ewing-level pg, and we’d be hoping that he is adequate and hoping that Liv comes back to be a #1 pg. A good player, but not the best case scenario. But I guess we wait and see what happens with the lottery tomorrow. I have no expectations except that the Clips will get the pick for their slot, out of the top 3 or 4.
by citizen zhiv on May 19, 2008 8:31 PM PDT 0 recs
Why
Would you draft KLove over Brook? No one’s a bigger Bruin homer than me but realistically Brook is a mobile 7 footer who can shoot.
by Jax on
May 19, 2008 10:13 PM PDT
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Lopez or Love...
It’s a great question when you think about it. Lopez has the length, mobility and skills to be a can’t miss contributor. But at the same time, I don’t think he’s ever going to be a star.
Put another way, in Stanford v. UCLA games this season, Love was the star, not Lopez.
They’re both going to see much bigger bodies than they’re used to in the Pac-10. Love will actually be ‘small’ while Lopez just won’t be so much bigger than everybody. The volleyball matches he and his brother used to play under the offensive glass just aren’t going to be happening.
So I actually think Love will be better. BUT, I know Lopez will be good, where Love could certainly be a washout. I think Lopez is a pretty sure thing to play center in the NBA for a long time. Whereas Love is a risk.
But I still don’t like either one for the Clippers. If Lopez does indeed drop that far, he’s probably more tradeable than Love.
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by ClipperSteve on
May 20, 2008 8:38 AM PDT
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WIth all due respect
the assertion that Lopez wasn’t the “star” whatever that means is simply untrue. UCLA had a far better team than Stanford last year. Specifically, Stanford had terrible guard play. Lopez played great against the Bruins. I went to two of the games, sat close in.
Love is a good player, potentially very good, but Lopez has a chance to be great in the NBA. Not sure why you don’t think Lopez can be a star. He reminds me of f Tim Duncan. He’s also a 75% FT (from memory) which is a huge asset for a 7 footer. It’s not that Lopez was bigger but rather that he’s 7 feet, is mobile and can shoot. I think you answered your own post – the reason Lopez is more tradeable is because he’s a better pro prospect.
The Clippers need to draft intelligently. Obviously they need a guard.
by Jax on
May 20, 2008 9:13 AM PDT
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Lopez – 79% FT (huge), 19 ppg, 8 boards, 2.1 blks, etc. on a team with another good big that took some of the post play and horrible guards.
I looked at the stats from the three games Furd played against UCLA last year. Neither player dominated stats-wise.
by Jax on
May 20, 2008 9:21 AM PDT
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It's an impression...
I can’t back it up with stats. But to my eyes, Love made the big plays that gave UCLA the wins. I agree that Stanford was helping Brook a lot. When they won games, it seemed like it was usually the Lopez’ and Finger just getting every offensive rebound until somebody finally scored. But they were 0-3 against UCLA, and as I watched those games it was Love who impressed me more. Like I say, I don’t have stats to support it. We’ll have to wait and see who is the better pro.
The Clippers! The (second) Best NBA Team in LA!
by ClipperSteve on
May 20, 2008 9:57 AM PDT
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Love and Lopez
I’d discuss this one all day. For most teams, expecially those in the lottery, Lopez is the obvious pick. But most teams don’t have Chris Kaman and Elton Brand, so the Clippers situation is a little bit different.
You’re talking about a backup 4-5, on a team that needs offensive skill players and shooters. Lopez might be a very solid future player and insurance policy against Brand leaving. It could be interesting to see Lopez and Kaman playing alongside each other, but I’m not sold on turning Kaman into primarily a PF, especially since he just started making his midrange perimeter shot this year.
With Love you would get a player who would complement both Kaman and Brand, and if he’s in better shape and a bit quicker, he might even be able to be on the floor together with them, although that’s unlikely. We’ve talked before about how Love’s skill set is off the charts. We only started seeing his perimeter game towards the end of the year. I would argue that in some ways he’s a better, stronger rebounder than Lopez, although that’s quite debatable. Any way you look at it, Love is going to get a lot of rebounds in the NBA. That gets you to his crazy outlet skills, which probably won’t work quite the same way in the NBA, but the drills were developed by Stan from Wes Unseld, and it would be interesting to see Brand and Kaman get quicker and more accurate on the outlet. Love is a better passer than Lopez in every respect, and in the NBA that will be important, as he will have the ability to make other players better.
We all know that I’m a fan, so take the huge grain of salt. I don’t think KLove is going to struggle mightily or be “iffy” in the NBA, though he will have his growing pains like anybody else. We’ll see how he tests out in the upcoming camps and workouts, and the word is that he has lost weight and is more fit and ready to impress. Somehow I have a feeling that he’s going to know exactly what he’s doing in the upcoming process, that there will be fewer surprises for him than the average player. And my guess is that he’ll end up on a team where he’ll be a good fit.
Another thing to consider is what Love (or Westbrook) might do for the Clipper fanbase, with regards to UCLA fans. We haven’t discussed this at all, but I do know that a Bruin-Clipper fan like myself is a rare breed. It would be pretty amusing, actually, for hardcore UCLA fans to see one of their stars on the Clippers.
All that being said, the Clips need to come up with a guards, not another big man, and if they come up with a guard through a trade it will change everything.
by citizen zhiv on May 20, 2008 3:56 PM PDT 0 recs
No camps
Stan has made it clear the KLove won’t be participating in any camps. He’ll work out for teams he wants to work out for, and that’s it.
The Clippers! The (second) Best NBA Team in LA!
by ClipperSteve on
May 20, 2008 4:44 PM PDT
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Lopezes...
I wanted to get my 2 cents in here about the twins. First, they went to the same high school that I did (SJM in Fresno), and I have been following them since their freshman year in high school. IMHO, Brook will be a solid pro, but not a STAR, let alone a Superstar. He is way more developed on the offensive end than his brother Robin, but on the same note, Robin is a defensive maven, and shows intense passion (to a fault almost). Now, we are talking about two 7 footers, with above average skills and NBA potential, but this is not what the Clippers need. These guys are NOT going to be a reincarnation of the Collins twins, as the Lopez twins have way more skills than those guys ever did. These guys will be solid CENTERS in the NBA, thats it. They cannot play PF as they are too slow, and have jump shots that resemble set shots from back in the 60’s. Essentially what I am saying is that Brook is NOT a fit for the Clips.
With all that said, I read that MDSr will most likely draft “best available” in lieu of the “Clippers needs” route, so we could very well see Brook wearing a Clippers hat come draft day.
by Clip Show on May 21, 2008 10:40 AM PDT 0 recs







