How Bad Have the Clippers Been this Season?
We can become enured to all the losing in a season such as this, especially in the midst of 12 games without a victory. But exactly how bad have the Clippers been this season? Well, pretty much no matter how you slice it, they've been bad. Really, really bad.
The team's offense has been horrendous. They are dead last in the league in two of the most significant offensive categories - offensive efficiency (they are the only team in the league averaging fewer than 100 points in 100 possessions), and effective field goal percentage. They are 29th in field goal percentage, and 29th in points per game. They are, simply put, the worst offensive team in the NBA, and that is saying quite a lot.
With one more loss, they will equal the longest losing streak of the Mike Dunleavy era. It should be noted that Clipper coaches rarely keep the job long enough to have their tenure termed an era, so he's got that going for him. Compare for instance the Dunleavy Era to the Ford Interlude, the Weiss Episode, and the Todd Coffee Break. Given the current state of the team, and the way the Milwaukee Bucks dismantled them 3 weeks ago to kick off this losing streak, it's likely that this team is going to equal that baker's dozen streak from the final month of MDsr's first season on the job, in April 2004.
You don't have to go too much further back to find the next longest losing streak. The Clippers lost 17 straight in the lockout season of 1999 and also in 1999-2000. Fortunately for Dunleavy, the team has a couple of great chances to get a win before the current streak reaches that level - the Wolves are coming to town on Monday, and the Thunder are going to be here next Friday. Of course, both of those teams are playing better than the Clippers right now, so it's far from a lock that the streak will end next week. But there's a chance.
Now, a card-carrying member of Club Optimism would point out that this is all irrelevant since the Clippers have been decimated by injuries this season. And it's certainly true that injuries have once again played a major part in this tragedy (or is it a farce). If you view the post-Randolph trade as the full strength roster, the Clippers have not played a complete game with everyone healthy this season - not one. Moreover, the injuries have come in bunches lately. For the last 10 losses of the current streak they were missing at least 4 key players, and for the last 7 they've been missing the three players the team is supposedly built around. It's not easy to win games in that situation.
In fact, Club Optimism requires you to be aware of this stat: the Clippers are 6-6 in the 12 games where Zach Randolph started and finished. And none of those featured Chris Kaman. So .500 basketball while still dealing with a key injury (not to mention while still learning to play together) is a good thing, and encourages one to think that the team can be quite good when fully healthy (if that were to ever happen). But turn that Randolph stat over on it's head for a moment. WITHOUT Zach Randolph, the 2008-2009 LA Clippers are 2-24.
2-24!
Two wins in 26 games - that's a single digit winning percentage citizens (below 8, to be exact). That works out to 6 wins over the course of an 82 game season. Bear in mind that the NBA record for futility is 9 wins. 2-24 is historically, colossally, monumentally bad.
And lest you dismiss the situation completely based on injuries, please bear in mind that Baron Davis played in 18 of those game. And Marcus Camby played in more than that. Even Chris Kaman played in 15 of them. In fact, the Clippers played a dozen games with all three of these supposed difference-makers together before the Randolph trade and went 2-10. So, I'll grant that having two significant players out of a game is a tough row to hoe (although it didn't keep the Spurs from beating the Clippers without Ginobili and Parker, but I digress). The Clippers are winless this season when two or more of their four most significant players (Randolph, Baron, Damby and Kaman) have been out - I have them at 0-14 in such games, including the last 11 straight. Yes, those were all unlikely games for the team to expect to win; but winless in 14 tries? That's embarrassing. And 2 and 10 in the dozen games with only one guy missing is even worse.
The maddening thing about the current streak is that the Clippers seem to play well in the games where they have the least chance of winning - Detroit, Dallas, Phoenix - even San Antonio for a time. The net effect is that one can be encouraged at how 'well' they're playing (everything being relative, of course) even as they descend towards 'worst record in the NBA' status (WAS and OKC both have 7 wins now - watch out). It is sometimes said of good teams that they play down to their competition - that they play just well enough to win. For the Clippers, they play just well enough to lose. If it's a good team, they can really give full effort, comfortable in the knowledge that a last minute loss is the best possible outcome. Against a bad team, they have to stink from the opening tip to make sure to get the L.
There are of course other excuses for the miserable record beyond games missed to injury. After all, Baron was playing with a torn ligament in his hand, and the injury that has him out of the lineup currenlty was actually suffered in the second game of the season - so he likely hasn't been 100% this season (and possibly not close, but who knows). And the 'healthy' games for the team (again, a relative term) all came at the beginning of the season, so there were issues of cohesion stemming from the roster turnover and the training camp injuries. As we know, there are plenty of excuses.
Just remember when you're making those excuses, that they have to account for a lot of losing. I'm not sure they do.
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"It is sometimes said of good teams that they play down to their competition – that they play just well enough to win. For the Clippers, they play just well enough to lose. If it’s a good team, they can really give full effort, comfortable in the knowledge that a last minute loss is the best possible outcome. "
I know that saying that the Clippers were “comfortable” is subjective but it does seem that way.
They play down to the level of bad teams but they seem to light a fire and have that intensity against good teams.
organizational overhaul
I think what the team really needs is a complete organizational overhaul. If DTS isn’t willing to sell the team, he should hire a competent president and get out of the way. There is such a losing culture that has gone back so many years that it seems ingrained. The losing just feeds on itself. It becomes a self fulfilling prophecy. I would replace all the top management and try to lure people from successful organizations to infuse a new winning culture.
by whydoiliketheclips on Jan 15, 2009 9:04 PM PST reply actions
I've been preaching that for years
And no one should use the term “quality loss” anymore with this team.
Pretty Bleeping Brilliant
Cliptakular already quoted you, but it bears repeating…
“For the Clippers, they play just well enough to lose. If it’s a good team, they can really give full effort, comfortable in the knowledge that a last minute loss is the best possible outcome.”
you wrote, i'm sure it's excellent...I just can't get myself to read anymore about this season...
"Duck, Crab. Crab, Duck"
Roger Sterling - Mad Men
The curse of Elgin, the system, the injuries, the not-so-injuries, the 10 new players, the gel, the evil agents, the Conga room, the suits of MDsr, whatever excuse we find. In any given sport, whatever league you choose, if a team has a combined total of 89 losses in 120 games, in a season and a half, the coach is shown the door. The reason?: not winning. No need to justify anything. For the sake of change. After reading this post, really, how much worse could it get?
The Perfect Storm
Excellent post. It’s a great breakdown and analysis, and a lot of the facts jump out as extraordinary futility.
I’d like to see you go further on the different phases, something I’ve mentioned before. Training camp and pre-season injuries kicked this off. As good as Camby has been, and he has been playing great for awhile now, he missed all of October and most of November. It’s interesting to connect BD’s tailbone injury to Camby’s debut, his first games, his first basketball of any kind, as a Clipper. And of course there wasn’t much time when Camby and Kaman and BD were playing, only a game or two or five, right? And they lost a bunch of them.
It should be interesting to see how the team does as guys filter back. They might break the streak and win a game here or there, if they’re lucky, but they need really need virtually all of the roster and the key guys to get going—we saw that when they played .500 ball with Randolph.
Hey Jax—did you watch Jordan Hill last night? What did you think? I don’t remember him from his first two seasons, and I was surprised to learn that he’s a junior—which means he’s probably older than DeAndre Jordan. I would have liked to see Bobo Morgan get a couple of minutes against him—maybe next time, in Arizona. But I’ll be watching that Hill.
12
Kaman, Baron and Camby played 12 games together. Camby only missed the first three games of the season – not most of November. Of course, you can say that he was rusty and not used to his teammates and all that, but he was there.
In researching my new post on Baron (now available, operators are standing by), I came up with a new theory. Since neither Kaman nor Camby are volume shooters (and since in the early part of the season Gordon was a little used backup), that left Baron taking the bulk of the shots, while shooting a terrible percentage. In this logic, the reason they team was so much better with Randolph isn’t just the accumulation of talent – it was the simple fact that someone other than Baron was shooting.
In this world, you must be oh so smart or oh so pleasant. Well, for years I was smart. I recommend pleasant. - Elwood P. Dowd
by Steve Perrin on Jan 16, 2009 3:52 PM PST up reply actions
I like Hill
Very quick for his size. Great around the basket. Way better than Jordan IMO. I also liked Brook Lopez.
Bobo’s too slow and uncoordinated right now IMO.
I was impressed
Yes, he’s a lot further along than DJordan, and I doubt that Jordan can ever get there frankly. I was wondering if JHill could play the three a little bit—he’s not the anti-Thornton (defender, ball-handler, high bball iq), but he seemed quick and mobile, not just big and long and athletic. Kaman-Camby-Randolph, with JHill and DJordan as developing bench guys could be pretty sweet.
Of course, he’s no Paul Davis or Nick Fazekas.
Who would you rather have on the Clippers: Jrue Holiday or Jordan Hill?
by citizen zhiv on Jan 16, 2009 7:21 PM PST up reply actions
Further along?
No, he’s just a far better talent IMO.
I’d rather have Holiday.
About Bobo
Yeah, Bobo just needs to develop fitness and turn into a player. It’s worth noting that Hill can be so good and impressive now, as a junior. He must have been a bit like Bobo as a freshman, just out of it and not running, strong, skilled and energetic, and he seems to have solved those problems. I believe the term is “motor.” DJordan actually seems to have a pretty good motor, I’ll say that for him.
The Bruins all handled their business last night against Arizona, and Hill was good, but he was far from being able to take over against Aboya, Keefe, and DGordon. I was just curious, because the game was in hand, to see how Bobo would have fared on the physical side against Hill. People in my row were saying that Bobo was hurt and unavailable. But he’s just not in the rotation and it’s hard enough to get Gordon minutes. (I like Gordon and look forward to see him playing with Reeves Nelson next year, with Bobo as a sophomore.)
The Bruins are still on the small side, and Bobo might need to see some action in March. We’ll see. Good start last night. My peeve from last year was that BH didn’t play Mata and Love at C-PF enough and then they were too big and strong enough in the Final Four.
Make it Mata, Davis3, and Fazeke. Loved Lorenzo the Magnificent.
by citizen zhiv on Jan 16, 2009 7:29 PM PST up reply actions

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