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Around SBN: The Week In Worst: When Baseball Goes Wrong

The Randolph-Novak-Gordon Set

I had intended to include something about this in my recap of the New York game, but I didn't for a couple of reasons.  For one thing, I was particularly tired for some reason and had trouble writing coherently.  You know when you're reading while dozing off, and you finish a sentence and realize that you have no idea what it said?  Well, that's an even stranger sensation when you wrote the sentence.  For another thing, it has to do with breaking down a particular play, which frankly is Kevin's domain.  I figured he'd do it in his recap, and indeed he did.

But after reading his analysis (which is as always terrific), I wanted to add my two cents.

As he points out, the Clippers went to a particular set several times down the stretch, and it worked almost every time.  Kevin says this was the first game they've used it, and that rings true.  For one thing, given that Novak only started getting regular minutes and becoming an integral part of the offense during Zach Randolph's absence, the team has really only had this personnel configuration (with Randolph, Novak and Gordon) on the floor together for the last six games - none of them close in the end.  And who would have thought that Novak would be part of the 'go to' play down the stretch of a close game?

Here's Kevin's description of the basic set - like I said, breaking down the X's and O's is definitely his thing, and pretty much no one does it better:

[4th, 1:00]  The Clips set up Randolph on the right block against David Lee.  They first run Eric Gordon around Randolph, trying to rub Robinson off the Clippers’ PF.  Robinson runs underneath, but is able to recover and cut off the passing lane between Baron and Eric.  Instead, Eric sets up at the mid-post and the Clippers now have a stack…and here comes Steve Novak trying to get free above the stack.  David Lee realizes two things: [1] There’s no way his teammate, Harrington, is going to be able to stay with Novak.  [2] The only way for the Knicks to prevent Novak from getting a clean open look at a 3PA is for Lee to drop off Randolph and step out on Novak.  So the Knicks switch:  Lee picks up Novak on the right wing, and Harrington has assumed the role of guarding Randolph in the post.  It’s a very, very nice set — well-drawn, well-executed.  The Clippers wanted one of two things:  [1] An open shot on the right arc for either Gordon or Novak. [2] Randolph against Harrington.  They get the latter.  Baron feeds Randolph, who takes a left-handed dribble into the lane, and gets mauled as he flings a left-handed hook that goes through the net.  Zach should be going to the line for a FTA, but there’s no whistle.

As he goes on to say, the Clippers run the play again the next time down the floor for the tie, and use the basic set on the first possession of overtime.

What I wanted to point out is that they also ran that set for the play before, Novak's three, which cut the Knick's four point lead to one - arguably the most crucial basket, since the Clippers failed to get a stop in four straight Knicks' possession.  The only way to erase the four point lead was to get 3 for 2 - which they did courtesy of Novak's three and Al Harrington's T. 

In all, the Clippers ran that set, by my count, on five out of six possessions (the last three of regulation and two of the first three in overtime) and they scored every time (although on one it was an offensive rebound by Zach).  What's most interesting is that they scored five different ways.

Option one is the double stack screen for Gordon.  This is not a new idea by any means, and is the Clippers favorite play to run for EJ.  He can either curl on the screens if the defender is trailing him, or go out to the three point line if the defender is hung up.  Robinson is so small and so quick, he actually defends it very well almost every time - it's tough to screen the little guy, and he recovers in a flash even if you get him.  Nonetheless, Gordon is freed for an open three point basket on the third possession of overtime.  It's also the same basic set that gets him a step to the baseline (when Nate goes over the top of the screens) for his crucial and-one in the final minute of OT. 

Option two is the new wrinkle, frankly because Novak is such a unique perimeter threat.  It's often said that some of the best plays in basketball are the oldest ones - the screen-and-roll, the give-and-go - these are things that I ran in high school, and my dad ran in high school.  But a relatively new play that you see everywhere now is 'screen the screener'.  Basically, the player who sets a screen in turn gets a screen set for him.  The reason it works is because the defender has a job on the first screen - he has to be ready to switch, and even if he doesn't switch, he has to 'show', which is to help on the high side of the screen to take away the easiest path to the basket.  But because that defender is coping with those responsiblities, he tends to get out of position for what is coming next.  Novak is in the stack of screens designed to free Gordon.  If Gordon doesn't get the ball, Zach screens down on Novak's man.  On the crucial three pointer near the end of regulation, Harrington is distracted enough by the screen for Gordon, that he gets caught on the Randolph screen and trails him out to the arc.  Truth be told, Harrington does a pretty good job defending it - Novak makes an unbelievable shot running away from the basket.  Harrington is close enough to foul Novak, though there is no call.  But the play worked because Novak is so bloody good.

Option three - call it screen the screener's screener.  OK, not really.  There is no screen for Zach.  But all of the action for Gordon and Novak once again puts Randolph's defender (in this case David Lee) in a tough position.  Does he switch, does he hedge, what does he do?  And he's got that dilemma twice, in quick succession.  As Kevin points out, he switches on the penultimate play of regulation- Novak has just drained a huge three, the NY lead stands at three, this time Harrington is completely hung up - Lee has to switch, it's the absolutely correct decision.  It means that now Randolph has Harrington in the post.  Zach makes a very tough shot and was definitely fouled on the play, though once again there was no call.

The final possession of regulatoin yields the easiest basket for the Clippers so far.  Lee is simply caught out of position hedging to Novak.  Randolph gets a deep catch and has a gimme at the rim.  Truthfully, although the play yields 12 points in 5 trips, this is the only time that the Knicks defend it poorly.  The other times it was really a matter of good offense trumping pretty good defense.

It's interesting to compare crunch time of this game to other Clipper games (with key personnel - no real point in comparing it to games when Zach wasn't available).  In Chicago, in a game that went into double overtime, the Clippers went to Zach probably 90% of the time at the end of regulation and in the overtime.  The go to set was more straightforward - an iso for Randolph.  The only involvement for other players was Gordon setting a cross screen designed to help Zach get good low post position.  But from there, it was an entry pass and spot up for every one else.  It can be an effective set, especially if Z-Bo is on a roll.  But it's more than a little predictable and boring.

By the way, if you happened to watch the Celtics beat the Mavericks last night, you saw the World Champion Celtics run an iso for Paul Pierce almost exclusively in the fourth quarter.  The 'set' was no more complicated than Pierce setting a screen for Rondo.  If the Mavs swtiched it, they got the ball to Pierce and had the matchup they wanted.  If the Mavs didn't switch it, they got the ball to Pierce anyway.  It literally didn't matter.  They got the ball to Pierce at the high post EVERY DAMN TIME and it worked EVERY DAMN TIME.  My point is, the Clippers aren't the only team that runs a lot of isolations.

But with a new level of confidence in Gordon's offensive game, and the undeniable threat that is Novak on the perimeter, MDsr, whom we have criticized for running  isos almost exclusively, went to a set that literally involved the entire team, and has myriad options and variations.  You want an iso?  Go to Thornton on the weak side if the defense is hedging to the screen action.  And of course Baron has the option of driving the lane as well if his man wants to overplay the passing lane.

Mike Smith said something after EJ's crucial three point play.  He said "The Clippers may have found their go to scorer".  I think that's a stretch at this point.  Randolph will be, and should be, involved in critical possessions.  But the point is that the team has some options.  It's not just a matter of standing and watching Zach.

It may be an isolated incident - Camby and Kaman were out, the Knicks present some unique matchups, the presence of Jared Jeffires allowed Novak to be on the floor without being exploited on defense - but it was a welcome and interesting departure for the Clippers.

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Novak is making a good argument to start over Thornton

I’m a big fan of AT, but I don’t think it is necessary to have two slashers on the court at once when you can have a slasher, post up guy and deep threat.

For all the talk about how MDSr. favors defensive minded players to a fault, we sure have seen a lot of Tim Thomas and Al Thornton minutes over the last few years, even when they are getting killed on the defensive end.

F-Elton!

by mikey p on Feb 13, 2009 12:31 PM PST reply actions  

Novak on defense

At the risk of seeming a tad racist (I’m sensitive to that this week for some reason), Novak is the prototypical coach’s kid, the ‘heady’ ball player – you know, the code we use for a slow white guy. But he IS a coach’s kid, so he comes by his basketball IQ honestly. So while Al has the lateral quickness to stay in front of an NBA wing, Novak will at least be in the right place on defensive rotations, screen out, etc. The fact that Al has not been highly effective on the defensive end makes it a little less painful for MDsr to consider starting Novak at the 3.

Having said that, I still don’t see it. Novak continues to get most of his minutes at the 4, where the Clippers are loaded. The defense breaks down really quick if the other team just have to give the ball to a quick wing and he goes right around Novak, which I’m afraid is what would happen.

In this world, you must be oh so smart or oh so pleasant. Well, for years I was smart. I recommend pleasant. - Elwood P. Dowd

by Steve Perrin on Feb 13, 2009 12:46 PM PST up reply actions  

Missing ingredient

The part we don’t know about Novak’s game is his ball-handling and passing skills. As a coach’s son, they can’t be too bad, right? We’ve seen him pass into the post, and he can take a dribble or two after a guy flies by him on a fake, and hit the shot. But we never see him dribble and pass to make plays. If it was part of his game, it would probably show up somewhere.

That’s what would make him more complete as an SF—I think his defense would be okay with help and team defense. I’m just curious about where he rates on the point forward, ball-handling, passing spectrum, if he has any moves and touch around the basket. It’s the anti-Thornton (anti-Maggette) slot, and “at the risk of seeming a tad racist (this week especially)” it’s the slow white guy slot. Luke Walton. Mike Dunleavy Jr. Grant Hill. Shane Battier (who plays great defense). Who else is there? Larry Bird.

Why can’t Novak be more like Larry Bird? That would be nice.

It just seems that if Novak was capable of doing more things out there, we would know it.

So the alternative is for him to maintain his phenomenal stroke and bulk up to play better as a PF who hangs around outside on offense, but who can use his height to rebound a little better. His rebounding was a nice feature when he was on the floor at the end of the game against the Knicks. It’s interesting to compare him to the other illustrious Clipper PFs, Fazekas, Davis3, Josh Powell, Tim Thomas, Walter McCarty, Vlad Radman—who else?

I’d love for him to be a viable option as an anti-Thornton, but it doesn’t seem to be part of his game. It’s not just defense.

by citizen zhiv on Feb 13, 2009 2:43 PM PST up reply actions  

Someone said it on another thread...

Add Gordon and Zach Randolph to David Lee, Nate Robinson and Wilson Chandler. That’s a damn good team they could have had this season.

In this world, you must be oh so smart or oh so pleasant. Well, for years I was smart. I recommend pleasant. - Elwood P. Dowd

by Steve Perrin on Feb 13, 2009 12:47 PM PST up reply actions  

crazy stat I noticed looking at zach's nba info page...

zach is averaging more points, assists and shooting at a higher percentage opverall and in 3 point shots) in MDSR’s offense than Mike D’Antoni’s? That seems strange to me… lol

by cantthinkofagoodname on Feb 13, 2009 1:06 PM PST reply actions  

Why?

Always challenge assumptions.

Get me BD and 75 and I'm in

by John R on Feb 13, 2009 2:44 PM PST up reply actions  

Plays and sets don't seem to have a whole lot of significance.

I might sound stupid, but I try to watch for what’s happening away from the ball when I watch basketball. I’m expecting some intricate set, and usually I’m given some simple iso or pick and roll. I’m not saying that you can win without them, but it seems to me that offense is more reaction than preparation. I mean, you pass it to the open guy, wherever he may be. You have to react to what the defense gives you.

Anyways, interesting analysis by CS, and I’ll try to look for it in the next few games.

"When I was a boy of fourteen, my father was so ignorant I could hardly stand to have the old man around. But when I got to be twenty-one, I was astonished by how much he'd learned in seven years." -Mark Twain

by WestsideBrandon on Feb 13, 2009 4:27 PM PST reply actions  

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