That's my assessment as well, but remember that injuries can level the playing field in a hurry. As things stand now, my best guess for that last playoff spot is Clippers, but if you want to argue for OKC, Phoenix or even Golden State, you can make a case.
interesting, considering all those teams won more (in Phoenix's case, much more) games last year. Kind of wary of optimistic expert predictions though; if I remember correctly, no one was predicting great things for us in 2005.
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