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Around SBN: FSU To Big 12 'Inevitable,' According To Report

Denver 105 - Clippers 85 - You Have to Make Shots

I have two points to make about this game.  I was going to make three points, but if the Clippers can't, why should I?

The first is that over the course of four quarters, with two teams playing, there was exactly one team that played well for one quarter.  The other seven team-quarters were terrible.  Because both teams were equally terrible, the Clippers actually were in the game for awhile.  They led by one at halftime.  That lasted until Denver had their one good quarter in the third.  But LA by no means looked good at any point in this game.  In fact, they looked like a team that played the night before, traveled until 4 AM, was adjusting to the altitude, and missing some key players.  All of which was true.

Most of the night, the Nuggets looked just as bad.  They were sloppy with the ball, and simply lethargic. In fact, for most of the game, that word describes both teams rather well - there was a lot of lethargy out there tonight folks.  The NBA - where lethargy happens.

Star-divide

Note to NBA schedule makers and TNT - if you want your Thursday night game to be remotely entertaining, don't schedule both teams for west coast games (i.e. late tips) and a thousand miles of travel the night before.  Just a thought.  Keep it in mind for next season.

The second point is that you have to make shots to win games.  When Steve Novak made a three with 45 seconds left, he ruined everything.  The Clippers worst three point shooting game of all time was an 0 for 14 game against the Timberwolves a little over two years ago (amazingly, the Clippers won that game).  Had Novak missed, or simply not shot, the Clippers would have broken their record for bad three point shooting in this game.  As it is, it was the second most three point attempts while making only one in franchise history - in a game in 2000, coincidentally against the Nuggets, they were 1 for 20.

The Nuggets on the other hand were 11 for 22 from beyond the arc.  Now, the TNT guys like to refer to that as "plus 30" but I've always found that to be a bit of a misnomer.  I'm mean, if one team is taking a ton of threes and the other team is taking (and making) twos, then the team shooting threes isn't plus 30 at all.  I might give you plus 10 (i.e. they got an extra one point for each of their extra three point makes), but plus 30 is a stretch.

But whether you call it plus 30 or not, tonight it was a huge factor.  Just for fun, let's do some math. 

The Clippers were:

  • 1 for 17 from three,
  • 34 for 90 overall (38%);
  • That means they were 33 for 73 (45%) on their two point attempts.

The Nuggets were

  • 11 for 22 from three,
  • 34 for 71 overall (48%);
  • That means they were 23 for 49 (47%) on their two point attempts.

The Nuggets, it's true, are a better three point shooting team than the Clippers this season - 37% versus 32%.  For what it's worth, the Clippers happen to be better at defending the three on the season.  But if you just give each team their season average from three in this game, the Clippers would have made 5 of 17 and the Nuggets would have made 8 of 22.  Add twelve points to the Clippers total, subtract 9 points from the Nuggets total - voila, Clippers win by one.

Of course it doesn't work that way.  Neither team wanted to work tonight - the Nuggets begrudgiingly put in the effort for one quarter and that was enough to win the game.  If the Clippers had made a couple more shots, the Nuggets would have had to work harder, that's all.  But the Clippers would have had to do a lot more than just make a few threes to be in this one.

The good news is that it didn't look like they were expending much energy out there - they certainly weren't hustling, which I find can really wear one out - so they should be super fresh for Sunday's game in Washington.  Let's hope that Eric Gordon is ready for that one, as he can actually shoot the ball.

Oh, and Craig Smith continues to be a beast.  And Kaman played OK.  That's it for the good news.  On to Washington.

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I have two points to make about this game. I was going to make three points, but if the Clippers can’t, why should I?

Hahaha

9:21 LAC - Offensive foul on C. Smith

by LancasterGordon4Eva on Jan 22, 2010 12:21 AM PST reply actions  

Yes!

I loved that too! Very witty Steve!!

DeAndre for MFP - Most Funniest Player

by ClippChick on Jan 22, 2010 6:47 AM PST up reply actions  

WOWSERS!

Steve, I am speechless. You did a great job breaking numbers down and explaining what they meant for this game. That is what I want to see more of. That is going old school. I like it a lot :-)

Great stats and you are correct, hopefully EJ can play on sunday, b/c he can def shoot.

"Basketball is life"

by NBAFAN8 on Jan 22, 2010 12:33 AM PST reply actions  

Rhino

Everyone needs one…Still my favorite.

by EJay on Jan 22, 2010 12:42 AM PST reply actions  

lol @ the 3 points thing

I agree and mentioned before this was not the Nuggets best or even average game but when you miss so many shots as we did you are eventually going to make the other team look better by default. We need to use the pick and roll more and less of the Kaman post and pass because our shooters haven’t proven they are hot enough to sustain the 3 ball.

As for EJ I hope he doesn’t go back into a post injury slump like the last one we can’t afford Eric missing his 8 shot attempts per game. lol

by KillaClip on Jan 22, 2010 12:46 AM PST reply actions  

Butler

Why didn’t he start? Not that it would have made that much of a difference. Just don’t understand the sudden move to the bench, even if it’s for one game.

by besaje on Jan 22, 2010 1:25 AM PST reply actions  

lol why is every highlight on TV is Marcus Camby getting burned or staring at a defender

I know camby has some bad man D but god it felt like he was trying to go easy on them.lol

by KillaClip on Jan 22, 2010 2:44 AM PST reply actions  

yeah it was just a terrible game for everyone

It was like both teams took an Ambien and went out to see who could play the best without falling asleep.

by dulciusEXasperis on Jan 22, 2010 7:48 AM PST up reply actions  

MDSr. I know it's futile, but WTF.

Why start Al in this game? Because he matches up better physically against Melo? Where’s the reasoning there when he started Sool against LeBron? I doubt Melo is that much more, if any, imposing than LeBron.

Rhino kills it again…then why did he not come back until there was 2:00 left in the third and the game had been blown wide open??

Sorry, I know asking these questions is pointless, but I guess, at least, somewhat cathartic.

"Buckle your seat belts, folks. This one's doing down to the wire." -The inimitable Ralph Lawler.

by Gordon for President on Jan 22, 2010 9:08 AM PST reply actions  

MDsr fears that if Rhino plays too much

that he will become enraged and ravage through the entire country and no bullets or tanks could stop him. So you should thanking MDsr for not playing Rhino he is trying to save all of our lives.

" Baron for the win, BINGO!!!! The Clipers Win, The Clippers win!!! "
Ralph Lawler

by bestclipfan on Jan 22, 2010 9:48 AM PST up reply actions  

The Rhino could have eaten up the Chauncius Billipus plant

if he had more minutes…
Well maybe not, but we should take advantage of his momentum. I think we were just short handed last night.

by EJay on Jan 22, 2010 10:05 AM PST up reply actions  

MDSr at his worst

BD says that Rasual spaces the offense better. He should just listen to him.

"[Fans are] not technically a lot of times savvy. They don't understand and they don't weigh issues the way that [I] weigh them."
Mike Dunleavy, Sr.

by Jax on Jan 22, 2010 9:59 AM PST up reply actions  

He does

Considering Butler played 34 min and Al 18, I don’t think it was a big difference who started. Plus, Gordon and Telfair were out…time for the makeshift lineup. Both played bad, so it didn’t matter.

This is going to be my team, and we're going to rise together.
-Clipper Darrell

by oasisman on Jan 22, 2010 11:39 AM PST up reply actions  

Good point

And since I didn’t actually see the game it was unfair of me to say that.

"[Fans are] not technically a lot of times savvy. They don't understand and they don't weigh issues the way that [I] weigh them."
Mike Dunleavy, Sr.

by Jax on Jan 22, 2010 12:09 PM PST up reply actions  

Sleepy game...

I turned it off… maybe it was Doug Collins and Kevin Harlan.

by John Raffo on Jan 22, 2010 10:09 AM PST reply actions  

Yeah all the TNT guys are very generic

the only non Milph broadcasters that I like are Jeff Van Gundy’s team and even they can’t hold a torch to Milph.

" Baron for the win, BINGO!!!! The Clipers Win, The Clippers win!!! "
Ralph Lawler

by bestclipfan on Jan 22, 2010 12:29 PM PST up reply actions  

TNT Sucks BALLS.

The sound Sucks, the Camera Sucks, the Announcers REALLY SUCK, Doug Collins is a Major TOOL and all the pop up stat BS screens Suck.

The only semi decent thing is Inside the NBA but with C-Webb on there last night it Sucked too.

At lease the Fakers lost.

Everything starts out New, Gets Old and Dies or is Destroyed.

by HVYDRT007 on Jan 22, 2010 3:48 PM PST up reply actions  

I like Charles

he always respects the clippers.

" Baron for the win, BINGO!!!! The Clipers Win, The Clippers win!!! "
Ralph Lawler

by bestclipfan on Jan 23, 2010 8:01 AM PST up reply actions  

I agree I like the Round Mound of Rebound

Everything starts out New, Gets Old and Dies or is Destroyed.

by HVYDRT007 on Jan 23, 2010 3:59 PM PST up reply actions  

Thin analysis

I can understand wanting to move on, but aside from SP’s rather complex simple equation, and a quick shot at MDSr for not getting Smith in early enough in the 3rd quarter, we’re not really digging in much. The game seemed deceptively simple because it got away and was a blowout through the 4th quarter, but there were still some interesting things going on.

The Clips without Eric Gordon. We saw this before, and it wasn’t pretty. In fact, it was horrible and painful. The Clipper lineup and margin for injury remains remarkably fragile. With all five starters, counting Sool as a starter instead of Thornton, they’re a good, competitive team. With Kaman hurt, they’re in trouble. With Gordon hurt, trouble. BDavis hurt? I would assume trouble. Camby and Butler: still trouble, I would think.

The Clips without SebTelfair. Bass is going to be down for awhile. We get to meet a new guy, and we saw some Mardy Collins last night.

Davis2 as a starter. Davis got off to a nice start and then seemed to tweak his hip and he lost his mojo. I must say that I didn’t mind watching him play. Like I said, he got off to a good start and had nice energy, and for a time it seemed like he had regained something like his old form. I’m almost ready to believe. He’s not as bad as he was last year, that’s for sure, but it would be nice for him to break out and have a big game in Gordon’s absence. Didn’t happen.

Mardy Collins. With more minutes he looked more comfortable and he made some plays. He had his share of miscues too, and his game clearly wasn’t good enough to change or affect the outcome. He also fell prey to foul trouble, like a number of other Clippers, not getting a lot of breaks when he was trying to guard Carmelo. Why did Thornton play so few minutes? Because he got in foul trouble guarding Anthony. Kaman was in a little foul trouble too, with calls going against him. Butler was the only one who sort of guarded Carmelo who didn’t have foul trouble, but it’s not like he stopped him either.

Kaman’s jumper. He made a few against Chicago, but he wasn’t hitting jumpers last night. He takes a lot of them, so it would be nice for him to hit them more often. It makes a difference, obviously, and it’s the type of thing that might compensate for Gordon being out. Didn’t happen.

Kaman the all-star. Anybody else listening to the generous and relatively thorough Doug Collins Clipper analysis? It was pretty sweet. And he was breaking down Kaman’s game and lavishing praise on him all night. As SP said, Kaman was good, but he wasn’t playing his best game. Again, it would have been nice if the Clips had shown up for a game on TNT.

Novak not hitting shots. Kind of interesting how Novak seems to have a role on the team: when they’re getting blown out, down by 18 or more, and Eric Gordon can’t play (hence the blow out), Novak gets to play and shoot in order to hit a couple of threes and cut the deficit. The thing is, it seems that Novak isn’t playing enough or that he has a steady role where he can start hitting shots. It’s like he hasn’t been able to warm up all season. We know the guy can shoot, but he’s not hitting them in the role of “jump off the bench and fire away.” You hate to have blow outs where he gets some time to find his stroke, and the only thing worse is injuries, which cause the same thing, giving him minutes.

Craig Smith playing great. Without the threat of Griffin returning, it’s nice to see Smith on such a tear. It’s hard to split the minutes between Kaman and Camby and Smith—yes, about 5 minutes into the 3rd and the Nuggets flying, it might have been nice to bring in Smith to change things up and get some baskets.

That wasn’t TNT Baron Davis. Not sure exactly what upset BD’s game. I would have thought he would come out and attack at the beginning of the 3rd quarter. Probably would be interesting to watch the game getting away. This was the old BD—shooting 3s, no extra defensive energy. As if he knew they weren’t going to beat the Nuggets, and it wasn’t worth getting after it at the higher levels of intensity. Obviously, he doesn’t like not having Eric Gordon around and having to carry an extra load. He can be the guy who makes other players like DJordan and Ricky Davis better, leading the way, not to mention how he plays with Kaman and CSmith. But he wasn’t that guy, and in the 3rd it seemed like he was okay with giving it up to CBillups for a night.

by citizen zhiv on Jan 22, 2010 3:57 PM PST reply actions  

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