FanPost

Scoring improvement...?

Through 4 games now, the Clippers are the worst scoring team in the league at 87.5 ppg.  It should definitely hopefully get better - here's a breakdown of Eric Gordon, Chris Kaman and Blake Griffin's scoring averages and some analysis as to what we might expect as the season goes on.

 

Below is a table that uses last year averages (for EJ and Kaman) to help project what scoring averages should (hopefully) normalize to as the season continues on.

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via i55.tinypic.com

 

First up, Eric Gordon has been great at driving to the hoop and finishing - managing to score a respectable 18.3 ppg on 46.7% shooting.  Not bad considering that he's doing this while only shooting 14.3% from downtown!  But what if he started making those at around 37% (i.e. what he averaged last year)?  His scoring improves to 22 ppg on 54.4% shooting.  Is this realistic?  I'll let you decide...

 

Next up is Chris Kaman.  Assuming he can get back to his shooting %'s from last year, he should average 17.4 ppg - down from 18.5 ppg due to less free throw attempts so far.  Sounds about right?

 

Lastly, Mr. Blake Griffin has been atrocious from the free throw line (56.7%!) and had a few miserable games, but I project that he should finish no worse than 50% from the field...I am pleased that he's managed to attempt 14 shots per game so far despite not having many go-to moves.  The real question in my mind is whether he will really average 7.5 free throw attempts per game?  Maybe - he attempted 6, 5, 12 and 7 free throws.  Assuming his FT% doesn't improve at all, he should still get to around 18.3 ppg - tasty!

 

Ok, if all three of these projections happen: Clippers will improve +10 ppg.  My question to you all is what is most likely to happen this season?

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