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USA - Lithuania - Semi Final Preview

I only have time for a brief post.

When the US came back from a terrible start to beat Lithuania three weeks ago, the feeling was that they probably weren't one of the best teams the US would see in Turkey.  Team USA faced Spain the next day and Greece a few days later in their final tuneups, and those teams were considered the real meat of their friendly schedule.

Well guess what?  Spain and Greece are gone (along with Argentina, another pre-tournament favorite), while Lithuania is undefeated.  In fact, Lithuania has a pool play win over Spain, and was the team that sent the Argentines home on Thursday.  So maybe they're a little better than we thought.

Linas Kleisza is easily the leading scorer on the team with over 19 points per game - no one else is averaging double figures.  But they play well together, and they used some red hot three point shooting to beat Argentina.  It seems unlikely that they'll stay that hot, but if they do, watch out.  The made their first 8 threes against Argentina and the Argentines never recovered.

In their exhibition game, Team USA forced 22 turnovers, and indeed on paper Lithaunia's guard play looks suspect.  That will be the game plan as it has been throughout the tournament - Team USA will pressure the ball, and try to force those turnovers that lead to easy baskets.

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Comments

Display:

ESPN Classic. Watching games not in HD sucks.

by Michael White on Sep 11, 2010 9:02 AM PDT reply actions  

A minute in and I’ve seen enough of Odom. Bring in Love.

by Michael White on Sep 11, 2010 9:05 AM PDT reply actions  

Is this what the US does? Just fire up 3s all day in the half court?

by Michael White on Sep 11, 2010 9:09 AM PDT reply actions  

Durant has 17 of team’s 21 with 2 minutes left in first quarter

by Michael White on Sep 11, 2010 9:18 AM PDT reply actions  

Sweet Baby Jesus.

"Buckle your seat belts, folks. This one's going down to the wire." -The inimitable Ralph Lawler.

by Gordon for President on Sep 11, 2010 9:21 AM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

Watching on ESPN 3

and Durant is amazing!

"It's better to be an optimist who is sometimes wrong than a pessimist who is always right"unknown

by bestclipfan on Sep 11, 2010 9:21 AM PDT reply actions  

I really hope this game turns into a blowout before I have to leave

"It's better to be an optimist who is sometimes wrong than a pessimist who is always right"unknown

by bestclipfan on Sep 11, 2010 9:23 AM PDT reply actions  

Assist for EJ (after a turnover his first touch)

by Michael White on Sep 11, 2010 9:24 AM PDT reply actions  

Hey an assist for Gordon

"It's better to be an optimist who is sometimes wrong than a pessimist who is always right"unknown

by bestclipfan on Sep 11, 2010 9:24 AM PDT reply actions  

And a rebound for EJ!

by Michael White on Sep 11, 2010 9:24 AM PDT reply actions  

Just another basket for Durant

by Michael White on Sep 11, 2010 9:25 AM PDT reply actions  

Coach K could give Durant a rest here. USA is up by 15 now.

by Michael White on Sep 11, 2010 9:27 AM PDT reply actions  

Wow that was a short rest for Durant

"It's better to be an optimist who is sometimes wrong than a pessimist who is always right"unknown

by bestclipfan on Sep 11, 2010 9:29 AM PDT reply actions  

Very short. Maybe they can push this lead enough so the starters can get more rest in the 2nd half.

by Michael White on Sep 11, 2010 9:30 AM PDT up reply actions  

USA Offense = Durant doing his thing + Lamar/Love down low

Nobody else is doing much.

by Michael White on Sep 11, 2010 9:35 AM PDT reply actions  

big rebound by Gordon

"It's better to be an optimist who is sometimes wrong than a pessimist who is always right"unknown

by bestclipfan on Sep 11, 2010 9:37 AM PDT reply actions  

Phrase I had never heard before today:

Big rebound from Eric Gordon

by Michael White on Sep 11, 2010 9:37 AM PDT reply actions  

Yeah but it was definitely true

he has 2 rebounds so far, maybe he is learning…

"It's better to be an optimist who is sometimes wrong than a pessimist who is always right"unknown

by bestclipfan on Sep 11, 2010 9:39 AM PDT up reply actions  

That was a good rebound by EJ

Maybe he’s been reading our posts

"i know huh........freakin clippers man.....its like a wild ride rooting for this team....gotta love em....(sometimes) lol" In GrIfFin We TrUsT

by SilverClip on Sep 11, 2010 9:37 AM PDT reply actions  

lol, sadly I think that during games.

I’ll wonder for a second if they are reading all the bloggers and forums and taking notes and stuff.

"Yayyyy! The Clippers got a coach, we will win now!" - My girlfriend.

by djallday on Sep 11, 2010 10:43 AM PDT up reply actions  

Coach K going with the 3 guard lineup Westbrook,Gordon,Billups

"It's better to be an optimist who is sometimes wrong than a pessimist who is always right"unknown

by bestclipfan on Sep 11, 2010 9:38 AM PDT reply actions  

Odom has been huge. Good thing Coach K didn’t listen to my advice 1 minute in.

by Michael White on Sep 11, 2010 9:42 AM PDT reply actions  

+1. A loose ball monster.

"i know huh........freakin clippers man.....its like a wild ride rooting for this team....gotta love em....(sometimes) lol" In GrIfFin We TrUsT

by SilverClip on Sep 11, 2010 9:43 AM PDT up reply actions  

yeah as much as I hate to praise Odom

he has been really good

"It's better to be an optimist who is sometimes wrong than a pessimist who is always right"unknown

by bestclipfan on Sep 11, 2010 9:43 AM PDT up reply actions  

Great drive and feed from EJ. Missed by Odom.

by Michael White on Sep 11, 2010 10:10 AM PDT reply actions  

The thing about Durant, when he’s locked in like this with his jump shot, he really can’t be stopped.

by Michael White on Sep 11, 2010 10:17 AM PDT reply actions  

Great play by EJ.

Surprised they didn’t call it a foul though.

by yaggiefresh on Sep 11, 2010 10:18 AM PDT reply actions  

Love is a scoring machine down low.

I think I have a new mancrush.

by Michael White on Sep 11, 2010 10:18 AM PDT reply actions  

haha

he has a knack to always be around the ball. High IQ.

by yaggiefresh on Sep 11, 2010 10:19 AM PDT up reply actions  

EJ's defense doesn't make it to the box score.

EJ’s D has been great through the whole tournament. At this point he is 3R, 2S with a deflection or two, but his actual defense has been really solid. That is why they keep him in, more so than his shooting because it obviously isn’t on fire right now.

"Yayyyy! The Clippers got a coach, we will win now!" - My girlfriend.

by djallday on Sep 11, 2010 10:28 AM PDT reply actions  

It was obvious when Billups was getting burned every time and Coach K had to bring in EJ for him.

by Michael White on Sep 11, 2010 10:32 AM PDT up reply actions  

I think Coach K doesn't trust him

he doesn’t play good D and he has had some very questionable decisions in game. That and he hasn’t shot that well.

"It's better to be an optimist who is sometimes wrong than a pessimist who is always right"unknown

by bestclipfan on Sep 11, 2010 10:34 AM PDT up reply actions  

I would have let him run the point when they switched to a zone instead of Billups.

by Michael White on Sep 11, 2010 10:35 AM PDT up reply actions  

But

He seems to be getting abused on the defensive end.

by yaggiefresh on Sep 11, 2010 10:36 AM PDT up reply actions  

Curry is in now

"It's better to be an optimist who is sometimes wrong than a pessimist who is always right"unknown

by bestclipfan on Sep 11, 2010 10:38 AM PDT up reply actions  

He's coming in now that the game is over, haha

"Yayyyy! The Clippers got a coach, we will win now!" - My girlfriend.

by djallday on Sep 11, 2010 10:39 AM PDT up reply actions  

nvm that is Granger

"It's better to be an optimist who is sometimes wrong than a pessimist who is always right"unknown

by bestclipfan on Sep 11, 2010 10:39 AM PDT up reply actions  

wait he is in now

"It's better to be an optimist who is sometimes wrong than a pessimist who is always right"unknown

by bestclipfan on Sep 11, 2010 10:39 AM PDT up reply actions  

God Durant is on fire

he is so hot right now he might spontaneously combust.

"It's better to be an optimist who is sometimes wrong than a pessimist who is always right"unknown

by bestclipfan on Sep 11, 2010 10:33 AM PDT reply actions  

Honestly, Durant never ceases to amaze me.

I think that he could go on to be one of the absolute best players in the history of the NBA. He is still so young yet unbelievable in all aspects of his game. Combine that with his intangibles, jeeze. He is my favorite non-clipper.

"Yayyyy! The Clippers got a coach, we will win now!" - My girlfriend.

by djallday on Sep 11, 2010 10:38 AM PDT up reply actions  

Kevin Durant

Let’s sign him up. Someone start a potential trade thread. Oh, and look up the ESPN trade scenario thing.

by yaggiefresh on Sep 11, 2010 10:37 AM PDT reply actions  

haha

who’d want to take on that ‘poison pill’ contract? hahah

by osamu on Sep 11, 2010 12:54 PM PDT up reply actions  

wow tough shot but Curry goes in

"It's better to be an optimist who is sometimes wrong than a pessimist who is always right"unknown

by bestclipfan on Sep 11, 2010 10:40 AM PDT reply actions  

game

"It's better to be an optimist who is sometimes wrong than a pessimist who is always right"unknown

by bestclipfan on Sep 11, 2010 10:40 AM PDT reply actions  

My only question is why does Love get so little playing time?

Kevin Love has been really solid through out the tournament but doesn’t get much time at all.

"Yayyyy! The Clippers got a coach, we will win now!" - My girlfriend.

by djallday on Sep 11, 2010 10:45 AM PDT reply actions  

didn't get to watch the game

http://scores.espn.go.com/fiba/boxscore?gameId=300913917

This doesn’t seem right… I’m assuming they didn’t start EJ at the 4, and KD at the 5.

by osamu on Sep 11, 2010 5:33 PM PDT reply actions  

I think KD wins for 38 points in 0 minutes

http://bcnbatalk.wordpress.com/ - Scoops on Hoops!

by peterghost on Sep 11, 2010 8:07 PM PDT up reply actions  

Final Tally

63% TS%
62% eFG%

Having nearly identical TS% (which considers FT%) and eFG% (which does not) is wild. You never see this. We can see the reason is because EJ spent all of his time beyond the arc and only earned 5 FTA for the entire tournament in 158 minutes or 1.1 per 36. Average for a shooting guard is 3.7. Obviously, Coach K turned EJ into a specialist so this is not unexpected and a full 71% of his FGA attempts were from deep. Only Billups came close with 69% of his shots being 3’s. With his 0-fer in the last game, EJ came down to earth in shooting. 63% TS% is very, very good. However, some guards have exceeded this for full NBA seasons. It is doubtful that EJ will be tasked to take 70% of his shots from deep or that he will make 45% of them. Despite what some may want you to believe, it appears the closer three point line affects shooting, and there probably isn’t anything to take away from the performance except that overall Gordon did a good job shooting the ball for team USA.

Other finals per36, below average for SG in bold:
P: 17.5
R: 3.2
A: 1.1
T: 1.4
S: 1.8
B: 0.5
F: 3.2

The foul situation is a bit puzzling. He did worse than he does in the NBA against inferior competition, in a system that allows more contact, and despite the fact that his team was never in a position to need to take fouls to stop the clock.

"To claim that you can simply watch a player and see his or her overall contribution to wins suggests that you believe your mind can do something that research suggests is difficult. Despite the limitations of personal observation, though, human beings still tend to believe the analysis based on this approach is correct. Such overconfidence can often cause people to ignore contradictory information." - Berri and Schmidt, Stumbling On Wins

"Hubris; H-U-B-R-I-S; Hubris" - Sean Salisbury.

by John R on Sep 12, 2010 2:22 PM PDT reply actions  

Maybe playing a bit harder on defense

I haven’t really watched much of the games, but from what I’ve heard, if he’s not on the court shooting, he’s aggressivly defending on the other end. Being more aggressive on defense puts you more vulnerable to drawing some fouls. Doesn’t mean it always happens, but it increases the chances of getting one.

"Things change when something is taken away from you" -BG32

by JackduhSun on Sep 12, 2010 5:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

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