Hollinger's Trade ideas... CP3 and/or Howard to the Clips
Dwight Howard, Hedo Turkoglu, and Courtney Lee to the Clippers; Eric Bledsoe, DeAndre Jordan, Terrence Williams, Brian Cook, Minnesota's unprotected 2012 first-round pick and a future Clippers' first-round pick (2014 or later) to Orlando; Chris Kaman, the Clippers' 2012 second-round pick and a future Clippers' first-round pick (2016 or later) to Houston.
This is the only potential offer that trumps what New Jersey has on the table, and it also gets Howard to a preferred destination in L.A. The Clippers can offer the Magic similar cap relief to the New Jersey deal, a likely high lottery pick from Minnesota, an athletic young point guard in Bledsoe and a promising big man in Jordan, in addition to a 2012 pick of their own.
The Magic will push hard to get Eric Gordon out of this trade, but I believe L.A.'s offer wins even without Gordon. Jordan isn't quite as good as Lopez, but the draft picks and prospects the Clips can add to this deal are better. Also, Jordan would have to agree to a sign-and-trade to Orlando for this deal to work; there are worse places to end up.
I threw in another wrinkle to this deal and sent Kaman and a first-round pick to Houston for Courtney Lee, but this deal also works if Kaman goes straight to Orlando. Kaman and Lee both have expiring deals, but Houston needs a center a lot more than a wing, while the Clippers would be in the opposite situation following a Howard trade.
Chris Paul, Emeka Okafor and Trevor Ariza to the Clippers for Eric Bledsoe, DeAndre Jordan, Chris Kaman and Minnesota's unprotected 2012 first-round pick.
This is the best deal on the board for the Hornets, allowing New Orleans to dump all their contracts, get a likely high lottery pick and add a young building block center and a developing point guard. As with the Howard deal above, New Orleans will lobby for Gordon and the Clips will resist. Also, as with the one above, Jordan would have to agree to a sign-and-trade.
But the real problem for the Hornets is that this deal is only second in the Clippers' hierarchy, and while in their fantasy world they would get Paul and Howard, back on this planet they almost certainly only have the goods to do one or the other. That means the Clips will only pursue this deal for Paul if Howard is off the table.
6 months ago
DocD
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I prefer the Paul trade
And i would think if we did the trade, we wouldnt have to trade both Kaman and Jordan. But if we do, so be it. Would love to have Paul. Broussard may be crazy or wrong in thinking the Clips would rather have Howard… not sure why that would be the case… I definitely think Paul is the better fit
My Bad...
I thought it was Broussard’s article at first, but it’s Hollinger
You can edit that...
In this world, you must be oh so smart or oh so pleasant. Well, for years I was smart. I recommend pleasant. - Elwood P. Dowd
by Steve Perrin on Dec 2, 2011 11:22 AM PST up reply actions
And you did...
Thanks
In this world, you must be oh so smart or oh so pleasant. Well, for years I was smart. I recommend pleasant. - Elwood P. Dowd
by Steve Perrin on Dec 2, 2011 11:27 AM PST up reply actions
Howard vs Paul
Personally I would prefer Howard to Paul. Isn’t Paul banged up a little? A Howard/Griffin/PV Mike frontline would be top notch.
Other than Griffin and Gordon, Eric Bledsoe is the player I would hope the Clips can hold onto. Am expecting a breakout season.
CP
Banged up knees, yes, but he’s still only 26. Did you see him dominate the Lakers in the playoffs last year? And that was with a weak supporting cast. If he was 30 i would be against trading for him, but right now he’s a perfect fit. Howard-Griffin would probably be one of the best front lines in history, if we could get him and keep Gordon. . .whoa. Surround them with shooters/defenders and. . .ok, i need to calm down. Don’t want it to be a letdown if we get neither, but right now it seems like we are gonna get one or the other.
by cassellmania on Dec 2, 2011 12:24 PM PST up reply actions
Lets trade a future 1st rounder for the Suns training staff
problem solved
"I'm an All-Star in my mind. You don't have to have somebody tell you that, to be an All-Star. It doesn't work that way." -Sam Cassell
Well, they are also losing Okafor
And DJ is better than Aminu. Wouldn’t NOH want the better player?
by Michael White on Dec 2, 2011 1:16 PM PST up reply actions
Hold on..
I’m confused (and I don’t have insider)….
Isn’t the New Jersey offer essentially Lopez and two future firsts? How do the Clippers have to give up Jordan and Kaman and Bledsoe and three first rounders INCLUDING an unprotected goldmine pick to beat that offer? Sure it beats it. It beats it to death.
Does Hollinger have more details on NJN’s offer? Because this is crazy. NJN’s picks, assuming Howard makes them a playoff team, would be out of the lottery. They own a Houston pick, but it’s lottery protected as of now.
In this world, you must be oh so smart or oh so pleasant. Well, for years I was smart. I recommend pleasant. - Elwood P. Dowd
here's the insider post:
ESPN’s John Hollinger
What New Jersey could offer for Howard
“Howard, Hedo Turkoglu and Chris Duhon to New Jersey for Brook Lopez, Jordan Farmar, New Jersey’s 2012 first-round pick and Golden State’s 2012 first-round pick. This is a strong offer that basically puts the Nets a step ahead of every team except one in the Howard sweepstakes — they can provide a good young center and give the Magic $25 million in cap relief. Remember, too, that in sunny, tax-free Florida, cap space is worth a lot more than it is in other places; while the Magic’s history with retaining franchise centers is a bit off-putting, in general they’ve had great success luring players to take their money. Plus, New Jersey may be able to further sweeten the pot via a sign-and-trade of Kris Humphries to Orlando; it really costs the Nets nothing since they have to renounce Humphries anyway to do this deal, so it’s really just a question of whether the Magic want him at his market price. New Jersey would also need to grant amnesty to Travis Outlaw and waive the non-guaranteed Stephen Graham to make this deal, two bits of housekeeping they are likely to do anyway.”
Fire Jasen Powell!
I could be wrong...
But I thought the GSW pick went to Utah in the Williams trade. That’s what I get from this link also. But Hollinger prolly knows more than I do. Even with the GSW pick (which is top 7 protected) you’re probably looking at pick 10 (GSW) and pick 18 (NJN) – ask yourself this: would the Clippers trade the Minny pick straight up for those two picks? Of course not.
Overall, I’m floored by Hollinger’s contention that the Clippers have to lose three picks to beat the NJN offer. Bizarre.
In this world, you must be oh so smart or oh so pleasant. Well, for years I was smart. I recommend pleasant. - Elwood P. Dowd
After another look...
It’s the Houston portion of the trade that is truly absurd (as madglove and others point out below). The Clippers-Nets part is not that bad. Take away the second pick and it’s fine.
In this world, you must be oh so smart or oh so pleasant. Well, for years I was smart. I recommend pleasant. - Elwood P. Dowd
Strange
I think Hollinger may have not realized that NJ’s pick would be worth far less with Howard. He’ probably thinking both the NJ and GSW picks would be lottery picks in a stacked draft. But obviously a team with Howard and DWill in the east isn’t missing the playoffs.
The idea of Kaman and yet another first round pick for Lee is idioitic. I wouldn’t even trade Kaman for Lee straight up. And I believe Houston would jump all over that deal. That’s craziness.
Rather have DJ then D12
DJ has big potential and I think the main reason D12 would want to come to LAC is to be with his BFF DJ.
Everything starts out New, Gets Old and Dies or is Destroyed.
Jordan over Howard because of Jordans potential
and in other news…
Howard is jelouse of Jordan and wants to take his spot as Blake Griffins best friend
I Am Witness to the 1st BLAKE GRIFFIN Triple-Double! And the 2nd Triple-Double!
Okay, come on now.
Dwight is easily the best center in the league today and one of the all-time greats at his position, that’s been proven time and time again. DeAndre Jordan is still young and we don’t know what his ceiling is yet. No comparison.
Clippers // Chargers // Rays // Boise State
"The Lakers do win games. But things can change." - Blake Griffin
Hmm...
I don’t buy the notion that the Clippers value Howard above Paul. Sure, Paul has been banged up… but having a true PG to compliment Griffin, Gordon, Jordan should make the Clippers an offensive juggernaut. Adding Howard to the frontline clogs the middle, take touches away from Griffin, and we still don’t have a PG to distribute the ball to those two guys. The only big improvement I see is in the defensive end with Howard guarding the paint. Then again, I’m also hoping that DJ will improve defensively as he gets more experience.
Furthermore, the Hornets and the Clippers are almost perfect trade partners. Take out DJ and add in Aminu from Hollinger’s proposal (as banandy noted), and we have a win-win deal in my opinion. The Hornets get to shed all of their bad contracts and start over with a high lottery draft pick and two young studs. The Clippers get a star PG with a serviceable SF and a strong (and highly overpaid) PF/C to compliment the DJ and Griffin combo. It just makes too much sense!
Exactly,
This is Griffin’s team, and partially Gordon’s. I don’t want Howard taking the limelight away from Griffin. They both work in the post.
As I can recall last year, when Blake was asked how awesome it would be to play with Lebron, he just blew the question and said that he thinks they already have a good team with or w/o LJ. Griffin is a humble player but I also think he wants an opportunity be the top dog, leading his team to the promise land. I think he embraces the challenge.
"I'm an All-Star in my mind. You don't have to have somebody tell you that, to be an All-Star. It doesn't work that way." -Sam Cassell
While CP is a great talent so is Howard. Part of the problem last season was the fact many teams were doubling Blake. I think with CP as a Clipper teams will continue to double Blake. With Howard as a Clipper not so much.
I think it goes both ways
Fine double Blake, you leave CP or Gordon open
"I'm an All-Star in my mind. You don't have to have somebody tell you that, to be an All-Star. It doesn't work that way." -Sam Cassell
id take a banged up Paul who can make the entire team better
over Howard who is only a solo beast in the paint…which we already have (and potential the one we have will be better)
I Am Witness to the 1st BLAKE GRIFFIN Triple-Double! And the 2nd Triple-Double!
There's advantages to both trades
A Howard-Griffin frontline. . .wow, best ever? Who are the opposing teams gonna double? You dont need a genius playmaker to make that team work, but yes, i would worry about spacing and chemistry. Griff would have to be the one to move out and knock down jumpers (as Howard cannot) Would he be upset that the new big guy will steal his thunder? Still, if you could keep Gordon with those 2, its a very intriguing team.
CP is a better fit for sure, and makes the most sense at this point, with the only worry being his knees (and for those who are afraid, remember hes still only 26)
Maybe this is silly, but I think there's more potential baggage with Dwight (ego-wise)...
Throwing a biblical reference out there: Dwight and Griffin will be like King Saul and David with people shouting “Saul has slain his thousands, and David his ten thousands.”
Can Dwight really handle being the 2nd most popular Clipper?
interesting reference
…as Howard and Blake are known Christians.
…maybe they turn out to be like Saul’s son intead: Johnathan and David, like brothers.
Energy * Focus * No Excuses
"For [Griffin]getting in the way of Andre Miller’s 40 yard dash?" -Steve Perrin
Ask for it and you get it!
One of the great raps ever.
http://youtu.be/o8T095mFdW8
"I gotta have more cowbell!"
In fact, I nominate this song as the Clips Nation official anthem for 2011/12
"I gotta have more cowbell!"
Yeah, not sure about that either
Chemistry could be an issue with Howard. Cant say that about CP.
Though another interesting advantage of Howard/Griffin- You could split their minutes together on court, so while they may start and end games together, you could make it so either one of them is always in the game. . .talk about putting pressure on the opposition.
We need a PG way more than a C
Eric Pincus would argue we need a PG more than a SF. Clippers are a much better team when they have a capable PG.
by dulciusXasperis on Dec 2, 2011 12:58 PM PST reply actions
EJ needs to step it up a notch.
He did last season and he needs to improve a little bit more. Look at the Lakers winning w/ fish.
"I'm an All-Star in my mind. You don't have to have somebody tell you that, to be an All-Star. It doesn't work that way." -Sam Cassell
But
by all means I’m not against getting CP3. In fact, I’m with the folks that would rather get him than Howard.
"I'm an All-Star in my mind. You don't have to have somebody tell you that, to be an All-Star. It doesn't work that way." -Sam Cassell
We must not understand ....
that a “7-footer” (center or big man) that can run and not trip over his own feet is rare and one that can soar through the air with finesse and power is unheard of? Good to great point guards (6-footers) you can find all over the place, guys that can run a team. A big man will win you the championship. Hence Dallas (Chandler+Dirk) > Miami (?+Bosh).
You “take the cannolis and leave the guns”. Good cannolis are hard to find, guns you can find anywhere.
Energy * Focus * No Excuses
"For [Griffin]getting in the way of Andre Miller’s 40 yard dash?" -Steve Perrin
WAY Oversimlified
While I don’t disagree with you that having a guy like D12 would completely change this team and many fans seem to be underappreciating just how good he is, your comparison is off.
First of all, you can’t find great point guards “all over the place.” CP3 is the best PG in the league. D12 is the best center in the league. There’s one of each.
Second, you’re way oversimplifying the situation by referring to Dallas vs. Miami. That situation is more accurately an example of a true team beating 3 stars and a bunch of scrubs. As if Chandler is some superstar. If we’re cherry picking examples, should I mention Jordan’s Bulls beating everyone including Ewing’s Knicks, Barkley’s Suns, and Malone’s Jazz? Or how about a Pistons team with Ben Wallace at center beating Shaq’s Lakers? You can’t cherry pick examples.
If guys who can effectively run a team were truly “all over the place” then why have the Clips had ONE truly competent PG in the last decade? And we all saw how good the team was when Sam was running things.
The reality is that both positions are extremely rare and difficult to fill and you really can’t go wrong with either.
CP3 is a great point guard who's physical soundness has been comprimised
I’m not breaking the bank for him. Period. Howard, perhaps. If CP3 was sound of body, then sure.
For point guards my comparison was “good to great”, not elite. CP3 is an elite point guard who is riding on a doughnut that is sure to blow not to far down the road.
My reference was Chandler and Dirk. If you swapped centers between the two teams, Dallas doesnt win.
We all know of the greatest player to ever play the game (arguably) winning with second had centers. Let’s not overlook the rarity of having the greatest ever, plus one of the best defenders and even all-around players in Pippen along with having one of the greatest coaches ever. That is not a formula an organization can try to hope for and emulate.
Of the last 21 years, 15 of the league champions had dominating big men, 6’10"+. The other 5 years had the greatest player ever. Of those 21 wins, how many had the 1st or 2nd best point guard in the league on the team…..0.
Great point guards can guarantee you high win totals for the season, but win the playoffs come, the bigs tend to produce championships.
Energy * Focus * No Excuses
"For [Griffin]getting in the way of Andre Miller’s 40 yard dash?" -Steve Perrin
John Stockton, Steve Nash, Iverson, Kevin Johnson, Alvin Robertson, Sidney Moncrief, Tim Hardaway, Mooki Blaylock, Mark Price, Fat Lever, Chris Paul, Rod Strickland, Marbury, Penny Hardaway, Terrell Brandon, Mark Jackson……. …some of the greatest point guards to ever step on the NBA hardwood. 0 championships total.
But you can have a guy like Kenny Smith, Derrick Fisher, average NBA starters, log multiple championships…they had dominating bigs.
Energy * Focus * No Excuses
"For [Griffin]getting in the way of Andre Miller’s 40 yard dash?" -Steve Perrin
and even with a great big it's not a gaurantee...
…it only tends to increase the chances.
Energy * Focus * No Excuses
"For [Griffin]getting in the way of Andre Miller’s 40 yard dash?" -Steve Perrin
"Sure to blow"?
Come on. Stop oversimplifying things. Are you a doctor or a fortune teller? The guy played 80 games last year. Eric Gordon has NEVER played 80 games.
You really need to drop the awful Dallas/Heat analogy. You swap centers and Dallas doesn’t win…sure. You swap PGs and Dallas doesn’t win either. You swap the first guard off the Heat’s bench (Mike Miller) for the first guard off Dallas’ bench (Jason Terry) and Dallas doesn’t win. You swap the 2nd guard off Dallas’ bench (JJ Barea) for the 2nd guard off Miami’s bench (Mario Chalmers) and Dallas may not win. Again, Dallas had the better team. And really, beyond all that, you have Lebron play NORMAL and Dallas doesn’t win. Of all the examples that you have to support your point, this one was possibly the worst.
I like how you conveniently chose 21 years to go right past Magic’s 5 championships and Zeke’s 2 rings. Also, I’m confused on your math of the last 21 years. 5 had the greatest player ever? Which of Jordan’s 6 was he not the greatest player ever?
Let’s go with your completely arbitrary 21 years and for the moment take out MJ’s Bulls. That leaves the Rockets, Lakers, Spurs, Heat, Pistons, Celtics and Mavs. Did they have dominant bigs? Some. It’s hard to argue that Miami Shaq, Boston KG or the Wallaces were truly “dominant”. Both Shaq and KG were on the downside of their careers at that point (as evidenced by what happened the year after for both teams) and the Wallaces were at best effective bigs.
If you actually take a look at those championship teams, the recurring theme is that they had good teams with players who complemented their superstars…whether their superstars were bigs (Dream, Duncan, Laker Shaq and Dirk) or guards (Wade, Pierce).
It’s easy to try to look at things simplistically and say “this is how you do it.” But the reality is that there’s no way to emulate a championship team. There are too many variables. The best thing you can do is luck into a star and build the best team around that star. THAT’s the formula.
And btw, the Clips already have a 6-10"+ superstar they’ve lucked into. The best course of action now is to build the best TEAM around that guy.
Am I saying that’s definitely CP3 and not D12? NO. I’m saying it’s way more complex than you’re trying to make it sound.
Good counter
I’d also say that he conveniently discounts the runner up and as a team who’s sniffed the playoffs once in the decade, we are no position to discount the runner up.
Miami, Boston, Lakers, Cavs, Mavs, Detroit (only exception being Orlando) all had competent to good big men but relied on a superstar wing or guard to carry them. Like Madglove said, not a guaranteed model of success, but refutes the you start with bigs and work your way down theory.
Obviously this is no absolute formula
That goes without saying (at least I thought it did). This is based on playing the higher percentage. The higher percentages goes to the team with dominating bigs to win it. Is it absolute? Of course not. Its a numbers gamer. If you ask me to choose CP3 or Howard (which is sort of was the question), I choose Howard. If Chris Paul did not have surgery to remove part of his tissue in his knee, I would definitely go for him because we already have Blake. Yes, his knee is more bone on bone know, which has a propensity to be much worse than normal as time goes on.
This would shed some light. Right now, I would rather have Derron Williams over Howard and Chris Paul, based on how are team is built.
and the 21 one years was somewhat arbitrary. I could have went back 30 years but the game was dramatically different then (lots of running, less defense), but the winning formula was too far from the truth of history. Magic (in my opinion) IS the greatest player ever. So that goes in the MJ category for me.
All in all, you build around your best assets. I dont phoenix is crying because they never had a championship with Nash or KJ. They enjoyed the ride of the playoffs and the hope they once had of a championship.
Energy * Focus * No Excuses
"For [Griffin]getting in the way of Andre Miller’s 40 yard dash?" -Steve Perrin
The percentages don't support you
If you actually go back to 1980, which is the beginning of the modern era of basketball and thus a more fair timeline, you’ve got Magic winning 5, Zeke winning 2, and Jordan winning 6. That’s 13 championships in 31 years without a truly dominant big. Then throw in the Heat, Pistons, Kobe’s Lakers, and Pierce’s Celtics and you’ve got 17 out of 31 champions without a dominating big, it really don’t show any pattern.
The game wasn’t any more different in the 80s as it was in the 90s. The 80s had more running, the 90s had hand checking, and much more physical play.
Most also without a dominating short PG (unless you want to call the 6'8" Magic a PG
"[Fans are] not technically a lot of times savvy. They don't understand and they don't weigh issues the way that [I] weigh them."
Mike Dunleavy, Sr.
by Jax on Dec 2, 2011 3:24 PM PST up reply actions
Uh...I'll call him PG
b/c…you know…he played PG.
I like to call guys the position they played. Most people do.
Yah ok - the point is that at 6 8 he's very different than a 6 3 PG
And one of those 5 Magic championships was won while he was playing C (in at least one game of the finals)
;-)
"[Fans are] not technically a lot of times savvy. They don't understand and they don't weigh issues the way that [I] weigh them."
Mike Dunleavy, Sr.
by Jax on Dec 2, 2011 3:47 PM PST up reply actions
You kinda underminded your whole point
This would shed some light. Right now, I would rather have Derron Williams over Howard and Chris Paul, based on how are team is built.
Your argument this whole time has been that this team needs an elite big to win and not an elite PG. If you’d want DWill, then clearly you don’t really believe that.
So then it all boils down to nothing more than you just don’t want CP3 b/c of his health issues. If you’d take DWill OVER Howard, then clearly it has nothing to do with the bigs vs. guards argument.
"Your argument this whole time has been that this team needs an elite big to win and not an elite PG. If you’d want DWill, then clearly you don’t really believe that."
lol, MG..do you forget we already have that Dominant Big? Of course I’m going for Derron over Howard.
So my point wasnt lost in that example. Here is a clearly defined example, I think.
Would you rather have:
Shaq and Fisher or Magic and Rambis to start your team with. As much as Magic is my fav player of all time and that i despise Shaq, I’m choosing Shaq.
Energy * Focus * No Excuses
"For [Griffin]getting in the way of Andre Miller’s 40 yard dash?" -Steve Perrin
I love when madglove supports a player he wants
"[Fans are] not technically a lot of times savvy. They don't understand and they don't weigh issues the way that [I] weigh them."
Mike Dunleavy, Sr.
by Jax on Dec 2, 2011 3:10 PM PST up reply actions
Actually while I do like CP3
I’ve been pretty clear that I’ll take both. In fact, I literally said that above:
The reality is that both positions are extremely rare and difficult to fill and you really can’t go wrong with either.
I just dispute the blanket statement that you need bigs to win and not guards.
You need BOTH.
Yah but you'd trade EJ for CP3 in these circumstances
Which I wouldn’t do. So you really like him.
"[Fans are] not technically a lot of times savvy. They don't understand and they don't weigh issues the way that [I] weigh them."
Mike Dunleavy, Sr.
by Jax on Dec 2, 2011 3:22 PM PST up reply actions
Yes I really like him
I also really like D12.
Really I like the Clips and would favor any move that makes them better. In this case, BOTH moves do.
Any good player would be a good addition
"[Fans are] not technically a lot of times savvy. They don't understand and they don't weigh issues the way that [I] weigh them."
Mike Dunleavy, Sr.
by Jax on Dec 2, 2011 3:49 PM PST up reply actions
"I just dispute the blanket statement that you need bigs to win and not guards."
That wasnt my statement nor my implications. I was trying to be rather specific in some areas. We were talking about CP3 vs. Howard, the best in the league at there positions and who one would take (amazing to believe the Clippers have a realistic shot at that).
Energy * Focus * No Excuses
"For [Griffin]getting in the way of Andre Miller’s 40 yard dash?" -Steve Perrin
Bigs or Guards
You mean Bigs or SG/SFs.
"[Fans are] not technically a lot of times savvy. They don't understand and they don't weigh issues the way that [I] weigh them."
Mike Dunleavy, Sr.
by Jax on Dec 2, 2011 3:24 PM PST up reply actions
Magic and Isaiah Thomas...
SFs? The list of SFs since 1980 who’ve led their teams to championships is the smallest of them all.
Magic is a PG in an SF/SG body.
I would rather have a dominant SG/SF than a dominant PG. Having said that, for this team, if I had to choose, I’d rather have CP3 because we already have enough good bigs IMO.
"[Fans are] not technically a lot of times savvy. They don't understand and they don't weigh issues the way that [I] weigh them."
Mike Dunleavy, Sr.
by Jax on Dec 2, 2011 3:49 PM PST up reply actions
and btw
MJ’s Bulls…fits right into that formula. You pick your star and you build the best team you can around him.
Your reasoning is exactly why the Blazers picked Sam Bowie over MJ.
Here's the full link of a new article from Hollinger on all the possible trades he can think up for Paul or Howard via Insider.
There’s what we know, and what we speculate. The speculation is about where Chris Paul and Dwight Howard might end up. The part we know, however, is that it almost certainly won’t be New Orleans or Orlando.
As our Chris Broussard reported earlier this week, the Hornets plan on offering Paul an extension and trading him if he doesn’t accept it. Although it’s financially more lucrative for him to accept the extension, it appears he won’t. Meanwhile, our intrepid Marc Stein says Orlando GM Otis Smith is already sounding out potential trade partners for Howard.
As Broussard reported, Paul’s first choice is to join the Knicks as a free agent, but that’s the least rewarding option financially. As I outlined earlier this week, even in the best-case scenario, the Knicks can offer him only a four-year deal worth about $57 million; in comparison, he can make $73 million over four years with a team that has full max-contract room under the cap ($17.18 million) or $98 million over five years by staying with the Hornets.
Even that $57 million scenario presumes a total demolition job by the Knicks that leaves them with just two players under contract; in any scenario in which the Knicks want to keep any other player besides Carmelo Anthony and Amare Stoudemire, millions less are available for CP. As our Tom Haberstroh put it, the Knicks with just Paul, Stoudemire and Anthony would have 3 of the best 13 players in the NBA … and 12 of the 12 worst around them.
When The Weather Outside Is Frightful
The NBA plans to start a 66-game schedule on Christmas Day after training camps open and free agency begins Dec. 9:
• Celtics at Knicks, noon ET (TNT)
• Heat at Mavs, 2:30 ET (ABC)
• Bulls at Lakers, 5 ET (ABC)
• Magic at Thunder, 8 ET (ESPN)
• Clippers at Warriors, 10:30 ET (ESPN)
What’s true for CP in New York is equally true for Howard, sans the wedding toast. He seems to be angling for relocation just as much as Paul but faces the same obstacles to a Big Apple endgame.
Moreover, money is only the second obstacle for both. The first is that the Hornets and Magic would likely try to trade Paul and Howard, respectively, long before either became a free agent. New rules on extend-and-trade deals, however, may inhibit them from getting full value.
(At least that’s what the day-to-day leadership in New Orleans wants to do. However, in this case, this could get political because the NBA owns the team, and the last thing it wants to see — in light of the competitive balance issue — is another star player strong-arming a trade or another “Superfriends” team forming. Moreover, it’s unlikely a sale would be completed in time to allow the new owners to deal Paul before the trade deadline, meaning this will be the league’s call.)
Because a team acquiring Howard or Paul would want some assurance that he’ll stick around, each can exert some control over his destination. Trading one or the other as a one-year rental is likely to get far less in return.
Nonetheless, let’s walk through the possibilities. If Paul and/or Howard is indeed traded, here are the ones that make the most sense both because they are destinations where they might agree to stick around and because they send the requisite goods back (or remove them, in some cases — you’ll notice a lot of these trades involve simultaneously dumping as many bad contracts as possible).
Side note: I didn’t list it here, but one consideration that will likely be in any deal involving Paul is the league-maximum $3 million going back to the Hornets, given that the team is a ward of the state.
On to the trade scenarios …
Chris Paul, Trevor Ariza and Aaron Gray to New York for Carmelo Anthony, Toney Douglas, Iman Shumpert and Chauncey Billups.
I continue to believe this is the only plausible way in which Paul can land with the Knicks. The nice thing from the Hornets’ perspective is they get a centerpiece star, some young-ish assets and a chance to start over in return. While I made this a two-team deal and included Billups, he’d almost certainly be flipped to a third squad for expiring contracts and/or additional assets — say, for instance, to Indiana for Darren Collison. The Hornets could take their time with that part, though, and hang on to Billups until the trade deadline.
(Random side note: There’s one little free-agency tidbit everyone in Gotham seems to be glossing over in the CP mania — while the Knicks don’t have enough projected cap room for Paul or Deron Williams, New York absolutely has enough cap space to sign 2012 free agent and part-time Big Apple resident Steve Nash.)
As for Paul, one presumes he’d still agree to go to New York even without his fellow wedding toastee, Anthony, especially since he could opt out after the season and sign for the full Bird Rights deal of five years, $99 million with his first-choice destination … and the Knicks would have enough room to sign another free agent to a large (although not a max) contract.
Dwight Howard, Hedo Turkoglu and Chris Duhon to New Jersey for Brook Lopez, Jordan Farmar, New Jersey’s 2012 first-round pick and Houston’s 2012 first-round pick.
This is a strong offer that basically puts the Nets a step ahead of every team except one in the Howard sweepstakes — they can provide a good young center and give the Magic $25 million in cap relief. Remember, too, that in sunny, tax-free Florida, cap space is worth a lot more than it is in other places; while the Magic’s history with retaining franchise centers is a bit off-putting, in general they’ve had great success luring players to take their money.
Plus, New Jersey may be able to further sweeten the pot via a sign-and-trade of Kris Humphries to Orlando; it really costs the Nets nothing since they have to renounce Humphries anyway to do this deal, so it’s really just a question of whether the Magic want him at his market price. New Jersey would also need to grant amnesty to Travis Outlaw and waive the non-guaranteed Stephen Graham to make this deal, two bits of housekeeping they are likely to do anyway.
Dwight Howard, Hedo Turkoglu, and Courtney Lee to the Clippers; Eric Bledsoe, DeAndre Jordan, Terrence Williams, Brian Cook, Minnesota’s unprotected 2012 first-round pick and a future Clippers’ first-round pick (2014 or later) to Orlando; Chris Kaman, the Clippers’ 2012 second-round pick and a future Clippers’ first-round pick (2016 or later) to Houston.
This is the only potential offer that trumps what New Jersey has on the table, and it also gets Howard to a preferred destination in L.A. The Clippers can offer the Magic similar cap relief to the New Jersey deal, a likely high lottery pick from Minnesota, an athletic young point guard in Bledsoe and a promising big man in Jordan, in addition to a 2012 pick of their own.
The Magic will push hard to get Eric Gordon out of this trade, but I believe L.A.‘s offer wins even without Gordon. Jordan isn’t quite as good as Lopez, but the draft picks and prospects the Clips can add to this deal are better. Also, Jordan would have to agree to a sign-and-trade to Orlando for this deal to work; there are worse places to end up.
I threw in another wrinkle to this deal and sent Kaman and a first-round pick to Houston for Courtney Lee, but this deal also works if Kaman goes straight to Orlando. Kaman and Lee both have expiring deals, but Houston needs a center a lot more than a wing, while the Clippers would be in the opposite situation following a Howard trade.
Chris Paul, Emeka Okafor and Trevor Ariza to the Clippers for Eric Bledsoe, DeAndre Jordan, Chris Kaman and Minnesota’s unprotected 2012 first-round pick.
This is the best deal on the board for the Hornets, allowing New Orleans to dump all their contracts, get a likely high lottery pick and add a young building block center and a developing point guard. As with the Howard deal above, New Orleans will lobby for Gordon and the Clips will resist. Also, as with the one above, Jordan would have to agree to a sign-and-trade.
But the real problem for the Hornets is that this deal is only second in the Clippers’ hierarchy, and while in their fantasy world they would get Paul and Howard, back on this planet they almost certainly only have the goods to do one or the other. That means the Clips will only pursue this deal for Paul if Howard is off the table.
Dwight Howard and Hedo Turkoglu to the Lakers for Andrew Bynum, Pau Gasol, Andrew Goudelock and the Lakers’ first-round picks in 2012 and 2014.
I like the two offers above better, but the Magic would have to at least consider this one. Ideally L.A. would put Bynum and Lamar Odom in the deal and keep Gasol, but that’s not a winning bid because both will be free agents in two years, leaving the Magic going through this whole song and dance all over again.
That’s why I think the only deal with the Lakers that really works would be for L.A. to offer Bynum and Pau Gasol, and as good as Howard is, I suspect the Lakers would be reticent to include both bigs in a deal like this.
This also has the side effect of killing the Laker-land fantasy of getting both Howard and Paul by trading Gasol and Bynum. They need Gasol and Bynum just to land Howard, and they aren’t getting CP for Lamar Odom.
Chris Paul, Trevor Ariza and Emeka Okafor to the Lakers for Andrew Bynum, Lamar Odom, Steve Blake and Devin Ebanks.
I’m not sure Paul is a great fit for how the Lakers want to play, but if the Lakers really wanted him this is the way to do it — they can offer two starting bigs and a pile of cap relief, essentially allowing the Hornets to completely start over (the imported Lakers and Jarrett Jack would be the only players with guaranteed money in 2012-13).
I’m pretty lukewarm on this one; while Paul would gladly go to L.A., there seem to be better deals out there for both sides. The Lakers would face some fearsome luxury tax hits after this trade and have some major frontcourt depth issues, while the Hornets can get more young talent from other teams.
Chris Paul and Trevor Ariza to Boston; Rajon Rondo, Avery Bradley and Emeka Okafor to Indiana; Brandon Rush, Darren Collison, Paul George, Roy Hibbert, Glen Davis and Boston’s first-round pick in 2012 to New Orleans.
We know that CP isn’t gung ho about going to Boston, but consider this provocative question from our J.A. Adande: Would Boston rent Paul? The risk isn’t as high as for some other squads: Kevin Garnett and Ray Allen both have expiring deals, and the Celtics could be in position to completely start over after this season even if Paul leaves, with only Paul Pierce under contract.
The other piece that needs to happen is Davis agreeing to a sign-and-trade; the LSU product would have a starting gig waiting for him in New Orleans, so I imagine he’d be amenable.
There’s also a risk here for the Pacers, who would be cashing in most of their young-talent chips to get Rondo. Ideally they’d do this deal without the de facto Hibbert-Okafor trade, and I’m sure they’re very reluctant to part with a rather talented young wingman in George. However, there are several combinations of outgoing players from Indiana that make this deal work (one that’s intriguing: including New Orleans-raised Danny Granger), depending on the tastes of the Hornets and Pacers. I have to think they could agree on something if the basic parameters worked for all three sides.
While I think this deal is unlikely, Boston is the one team most likely to pursue Paul without a contract extension, and a three-way deal with Rondo is probably how it would go down.
Chris Paul, Trevor Ariza, Jarrett Jack and Emeka Okafor to Atlanta for Al Horford, Josh Smith, Marvin Williams, Kirk Hinrich and Jeff Teague.
Paul wanted to come to Atlanta in the infamous 2005 draft that saw the Hawks instead select Marvin Williams, and our Chris Broussard just reported that Atlanta is still on the list.
So allow me to speak for all Atlantans for a second:
HE’D CONSIDER US!!! HE SAID HE’D CONSIDER US!!!!
Now that we have that out of the way … it’s highly unlikely CP is coming to Atlanta, given that the team is arguably on even shakier financial footing than the Hornets and the Hawks would likely have to trade their best young assets to get him. The best-case scenario for the Hawks is for the deal to cost them only one of Horford and Smith and not both, but it seems like that bid would easily be trumped by some of the others above.
You’ll excuse the locals for getting all geeked up about this though, as it’s the first time a superstar mentioned wanting to play here since Mt. Mutombo arrived nearly two decades ago.
Chris Paul to Oklahoma City for Russell Westbrook.
Not happening. Move along. Nothing to see here.
Chris Paul, Trevor Ariza and Jarrett Jack to Golden State for Stephen Curry, Monta Ellis, Klay Thompson, Ekpe Udoh and Dorell Wright.
Would CP consider Golden State? The Bay Area is the nation’s fourth-largest market and has drawn huge crowds to see awful teams for the past two decades. He’d get to play with a great pick-and-roll finisher in David Lee and stay with his best buddy Jack, and he joins some solid role players on a franchise that is both willing to spend and in a good financial position to do so. Sadly, including Udoh in the deal means we’ll never get to see how many times a game CP could hit him in the head with a pass.
This deal would leave the Warriors a bit shorthanded on the wings, especially if Reggie Williams walks. But using the amnesty on either Charlie Bell or Andris Biedrins and topping it off with the “under-cap” MLE should allow them to fill those spots relatively easily; they won’t be lacking for volunteers to play with CP, that’s for sure.
From New Orleans’ end, what’s nice about this deal is that it’s not a “give-up” strategy — the Hornets would still have a real team, and a fairly young one at that. The only drawback is that the Warriors can’t put any enticing draft picks into the deal because they already owe a future first to New Jersey from the horrendous Marcus Williams trade a couple years ago. Their past two first-rounders — Thompson and Udoh — are the best they can do.
Chris Paul and Trevor Ariza to Houston for Chase Budinger, Kyle Lowry, Marcus Morris, Luis Scola, and the better of Phoenix’s, Houston’s or New York’s 2012 first-round pick.
Would CP consider Houston? An offseason magnet for NBA players for reasons that utterly escape me, it’s not beyond the realm of possibility … nor is it insane to think Houston, like Boston, would consider acquiring Paul as a rental.
As for the trade itself, the Rockets have a lot of good assets and no great ones, which is a bit problematic. The draft picks are fairly alluring (I only put one in this deal, but Houston could include as many as four first-rounders), the players less so.
Budinger has the best contract in the league, making $900K each of the next two seasons, but he may not be a long-term starter. The other assets have some value, too: Scola lets the Hornets fill David West’s vacated spot; Lowry is an underrated bulldog who can take over for CP at the point; and Morris provides a lottery combo forward to further the rebuilding. Plus, it’s fun to watch Houston and New Orleans bat that awful Ariza contract back and forth like a tetherball.
Alas, there are no future All-Stars in this haul for the Hornets, which is why I file it under “highly unlikely.” But it won’t be from a lack of Houston trying.
AND FINALLY, THE ONE I WANT TO SEE …
LeBron James to Orlando for Dwight Howard.
The two best players in the league — traded for each other! This needs to happen.
And really, this trade would help both teams. Miami solves the alpha dog dilemma with Dwyane Wade and James, whose whole was less than the sum last season, and gets a better complementary offensive player to go with Wade, not to mention a devastating defensive presence.
Orlando, meanwhile, would get to keep a superstar in town despite losing Howard, because James has three years left on his deal. Sure, he’d go Decision II on them at the end, but just before he hit free agency they could trade him for a King’s ransom (you see what I did there? Six months off and 2,700 words in, and I still can make you cringe).
In the meantime, this is one trade that would instantly transform a lukewarm Florida rivalry into a furious blood feud. The two sides may want a couple additional considerations thrown in to even out the rosters a bit, but the basic LeBron-Howard deal is both fair and works under the cap.
Fire Jasen Powell!
So Paul, Ariza, Okafor for Kaman, Bled, Aminu, + minny pick
Leaves us with
PG CP3/ Mo
SG EJ/ Foye
SF Ariza/ Gomes
PF BG/ Rhino
C DJ/ Okafor
Solid, As long as griffin/jordan can play defense, and EJ doesnt get hurt this team is basically solid throughout ( some extra front court depth wouldnt hurt). Damn we’d be athletic! Id like to see teams try and keep up with us when we run
i would do this trade
as a point to the conversation above with MG, this move is not “breaking the bank” for a compromised Chris Paul. Would New Orleans see it as a fit trade?
Energy * Focus * No Excuses
"For [Griffin]getting in the way of Andre Miller’s 40 yard dash?" -Steve Perrin
No matter which of the Big Two players we get, it'll improve the team drastically.
If we get Paul, we’ll have a floor general at point guard, something we have lacked since Cassell left to chase another ring in Boston. He’ll be throwing lobs all night to Griffin, Gordon, and/or Jordan, and it will be fun to watch for sure… but he’s also clutch and knows how to beat the Lakers.
If we get Howard, we’ll have one of the all-time great frontcourt duos in NBA history. Griffin/Howard would almost certainly rank among the likes of Sampson/Olajuwon, Pippen/Rodman, Bird/McHale, Duncan/Robinson, etc. Traditionally, teams with great big men have won championships in the NBA, and I have a hard time believing that a team featuring both Griffin and Howard would be an exception to that rule.
Maybe I’m being too pie-in-the-sky optimistic, but I truly see us landing at least one of those two. There’s too much “smoke” around the Clippers for there not to be fire, IMO.
Clippers // Chargers // Rays // Boise State
"The Lakers do win games. But things can change." - Blake Griffin
i agree we'll improve drastically
but my hopes of getting any of the big 3 are not as high, for me it’s like the usual of player’s using the Clippers to posture for the deal that they want with another team.
Fire Jasen Powell!
It's different now.
We’ve got a bonafide superstar (Blake Griffin) in the nation’s second-largest media market. There’s a reason we’re getting a lot of hype in the media for our chances at either Dwight or Paul.
Clippers // Chargers // Rays // Boise State
"The Lakers do win games. But things can change." - Blake Griffin
Please don't go for Paul
Brandon Roy in two years.
Will Broy still be in the league after 2 years?
"I'm an All-Star in my mind. You don't have to have somebody tell you that, to be an All-Star. It doesn't work that way." -Sam Cassell
I believe he is saying in two years he will be how Brandon Roy is today….terrible knees
Energy * Focus * No Excuses
"For [Griffin]getting in the way of Andre Miller’s 40 yard dash?" -Steve Perrin
So we should go hard after D Will then right?
we’re cheap, like to drink and are pissed off.
by ClipperBEAST on Dec 3, 2011 12:45 AM PST up reply actions














