FanPost

Clippers improvement (pythag wins)

A whopping 3 win improvement from last season is not what most of us were expecting (hoping for).  From the pythagorean wins perspective, the season in review looks like this:

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The pythagorean wins formula expected 32 wins based on the team's point scored and points allowed averages...lo and behold, the Clippers got 32 wins.  Overall, this is a 3.3 point improvement from last season in scoring differential - most of which comes from the Clippers improved offense.  The defense actually hasn't translated to much change in overall points allowed.

 

Anyways, thinking ahead to next season and the Clippers' playoff aspirations, it looks like they will need a 5 point improvement in overall scoring differential to get to 46 wins, which of course is what New Orleans and Memphis both finished with to garner 7th/8th seeds.

 

Drilling down further, the real improvement next season needs to come from improved play on the road - we all know this qualitatively already, but check out the ugly stats between home and away games.

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Yikes!  The Clippers are straight up nasty on the road - allowing their opponent to score 5pts more on average while scoring 3.6pts less.  If the Clippers were allowed to play all 82 games at home, they would have been around 44 wins...still not good enough for the playoffs, ugh.

 

I hope the Clippers have a great offseason...they're going to need it to make the playoffs.

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