How the Clippers Can Land Iguodala or Afflalo

Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Even after the proposed Celtics trade, it's still possible for the Clippers to acquire a coveted shooting guard on the market, namely Andre Iguodala or Aaron Afflalo.

Let's delve into a hypothetical. I'm going to make some assumptions, and then, operating under those assumptions, manipulate the CBA and salary cap in order to create the best Clippers roster possible.

Assumption 1: The following trade is confirmed tomorrow: DeAndre Jordan and picks (for the purpose of this column it doesn't matter if it's one or two picks) for Kevin Garnett (and Doc Rivers, though that doesn't matter for this column either).

Assumption 2: Paul Pierce is bought out in Boston and wants to come to LA for the MLE. The Clippers haven't signed him yet, but they will. It's just a matter of working the numbers.

Keep in mind that I'm not saying that these things will happen, but that for the purpose of this exercise I'm assuming that they will.

Here's some important rules to remember:

  1. If a taxpaying team is making a trade, they can only acquire 125% of the outgoing salary, plus $100,000
  2. If a non-taxpaying team is making a trade with an outgoing salary of less than $9.8M, they can acquire 150% of the outgoing salary, plus $100,000
  3. If a non-taxpaying team is making a trade with an outgoing salary of between $9.8M and $19.6M, they can acquire the outgoing salary plus $5M
  4. If a non-taxpaying team is making a trade with an outgoing salary of over $19.6M, they can acquire 125% of the outgoing salary, plus $100,000
  5. The non-taxpayer mid-level exception (MLE) is worth $5.15M this year.
  6. Any team below the "apron" can use the MLE to spend up to the apron, but once they use the MLE, the apron counts as a hard cap for that team.
  7. Any team receiving a player in a sign-and-trade deal must be under the apron after the deal.
  8. A signed-and-traded player can only receive the deal he would have gotten with another team (4 years, 4.5% raises)
  9. If a team does not have 12 players on their roster, they have a cap hold for the rookie minimum ($490,000)
  10. The salary cap will be set at $58.5M, the tax line at $71.6M, and the apron at $75.6M
Ok. So in this hypothetical, a trade with the Celtics was just announced. Here's what the Clippers situation looks like:

Clips_after_garnett_trade_medium

First order of business: re-sign Billups and Odom on the cheap. While it's possible both could be had for the min, Erik O and I agreed that it was fair to give each a $2M salary for next season.

Clippers_after_odom_and_billups_and_garnett_medium

Now, the Clippers have to free up enough salary to both make a trade, and give Paul Pierce the MLE($5.15). They need to do both of these things, and fill out the roster, while staying underneath the apron- expected to be at $75.6M.

Now is where it's time to split the column. First, we'll look at how it's possible to get Andre Iguodala, and then we'll come back to this point and investigate the opportunity behind Aaron Afflalo.

Iguodala:

First, the Clippers would need to clear up some space. Waiving the non-guaranteed contracts on the roster is a good start.

Clippers_after_waiving_medium

This puts the Clippers a good four million dollars under the tax line for 11 players. A cap hold for $490,000 has to be added for the last roster spot, making that amount slightly smaller.

Now let's look at a potential Andre Iguodala sign-and-trade:

Clips_after_iggy_trade_overpay_medium

The Clippers could legally do this trade. Check out rule #3 above. The outgoing salary is between $9.8M and $19.6M, and the incoming salary is less than (outgoing salary) + $5M, as long as it keeps the Clippers under the tax line ($71.6M). If the trade put them in the tax, the most that they could pay would be 125% plus $100,000. Let's look at the overall picture if this exact deal was done.

Overall_after_iggy_overpay_medium

Hey- I can do math. It works out perfectly. The Clippers toe the tax line without crossing it- paying Iguodala the maximum possible while keeping cap holds for their final two roster spots (they only currently have 10 players or cap holds in this scenario).

Unfortunately, there's one critical error here. The Clippers want to be able to give Paul Pierce the full MLE ($5.15M- rule #5). But according to rule #6, the Clippers can't spend over the apron with their MLE. Since the apron is $4M over the tax line, that means that the Clippers couldn't give Pierce their full MLE. In order to give Pierce the full MLE, they need that $4M gap, plus an additional $1.15M. That extra money has to come from Iguodala's contract. So here's what the trade would have to really look like:

Real_iggy_trade_medium

And here's what the overall roster would really look like after it:

Overall_after_real_iggy_trade_medium

And, for reference, here's the best deal that the Clippers could offer Iggy under these conditions and the new sign-and-trade rules in the new CBA (see Rule 8)

Iggy_contract_medium

What would the next step be for the Clippers after this sign-and-trade? Adding Paul Pierce for the mid-level exception. Here's what that would look like.

Post_pierce_and_iggy_overall_medium

It gives the Clippers enough flexibility to add a minimum player, but overall the roster is set, as the Clippers would be operating under a $75.6M hard cap.

Ok. That was a lot. Now let's look at a simpler scenario- Aaron Afflalo.

Afflalo:

This scenario is a lot easier for the Clippers, because Afflalo's contract is set in stone already. No need to worry about a sign-and-trade. And since he makes less than Butler, there's no need to worry about incoming and outgoing salaries.

Here's what a potential trade would look like:

Afflalo_trade_medium

And here is what the overall picture would look like after this trade:

Post_afflalo_trade_medium

This leaves the Clippers with easily enough room to give Paul Pierce the full MLE. Note that there are no cap holds for empty roster spots here because the Clippers still have 13 players in this scenario. Next step? Sign Pierce, and it looks like this:

Post_afflalo_post_pierce_overall_medium

This puts the Clippers at just about $1M over the tax line for 14 players. It would, in fact, be very easy to make a couple small changes to get the Clippers under the tax line altogether, potentially saving owner Donald Sterling millions in repeater tax penalties in years to come (millions he'll be spending on a 5 year/ $35M deal for Doc Rivers).

The Clippers can either release Willie Green to get under the tax line, or not bring back any two of the following players: Summers, Wayns, Barnes, Hollins, Turiaf.

So that's two different great options for Gary Sacks and the Clippers front. Bring in Andre Iguodala (if you can sign-and-trade him for that price) and stay under the apron, or bring in Aaron Afflalo and potentially not even pay the tax. Not to mention in both scenarios they have Paul Pierce joining Garnett and Rivers in Los Angeles.

If you think my math might be bad, or if you have any questions, let me know in the comments.

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