FanPost

GAME 76 - @DAL Preview and Open Thread

So you say you want a win in Dallas. The Dallas Mavericks don't lose often. Let's take a look at the few ways to beat them.

Loss #
Method
Probability of Success


1-4
Get up pretty early in the morning.
0%. Even though the Mavericks waited until Game 5 this season to wake up, they are awake and alert now.

5
Play excellent Wizar*s defense and have your star score 38 points on 27 shots. Oh, out rebound the Mavs too.
0%. My best guess is someone in DC poisoned the Mavs. Since this game is in Dallas this option appears to be off the table.

6, 7
Catch them as a clicking, veteran team while the Mavs are in a heavy stretch of games with travel.
20%. The Clippers are clicking, and moderately veteran. They are also reasonably rested while the Mavs are going through a moderate stretch. Shouldn't be enough to deter them at home.

8
Be the Lakers at home on national television where somehow anything is possible.
0%. In the scheme of NBA Globetrotters and Generals, the Clippers are still far down on the Generals slider. Expect no magical help. Ever.

9
Catch them at home and be a lockdown defensive squad.
35%. The Clippers can be lockdown on defense, but again this one is in Dallas.

10, 12
Be a run-them-out-the-building squad and catch them at home on the second night of a back-to-back and riding a 9+game win streak.
0%. None of that applies. At all.

11
Be a fast team and catch them coming off loss #10 and drag it out to overtime.
0%. No help there.

13
Catch them at home with a hobbled Nowitzki. Don't think that made it easy.
10%-40%. If his ankle isn't 100%, its at least something. In the ballet of the NBA season winding down, who knows how real those injuries are to Dirk and Howard.

Here's some things that are 100%:

  • The Clippers need TT to be healthy.
  • The Clippers need a lockdown defensive effort.
  • Everyone, especially Kaman, must show up.
  • There can be no extended offensive lapse.

    Or just write the whole thing off and save energy for tomorrow vs NOK.

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