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Mavs 95 - Clippers 94

Excellent.  Outstanding.

It's not easy to outplay the team with the best record in the Western Conference and still come away with the all important loss, but the Clippers managed to do it.  By losing, the second worst record in the NBA is well within reach.  Memphis has 10 wins like the Clippers.  New York and Seattle have 9.  Miami has 8.  They're all one mildly warm stretch from passing the Clippers in the standings.  Only Minnesota seems safe at this point.

But what to do when you're shooting in the high 50's and have 9 point lead and the ball with less than 5 minutes to go?

Start by missing 6 of your last 7 shots.  (The Clippers still managed 52% on the game, their first time over 50% this season.)

If you're Cat Mobley, and you started the season as the Clippers go to scorer in the fourth quarter, force up 4 of those shots and miss them all.  Hell, miss them badly, just in case.

Don't let Chris Kaman touch the ball for the last 5 minutes.

If you're Corey Maggette and you've made 10 of 12 free throws in the game and are shooting 81% on the year, 82% on your career, miss a pair with 3:19 left and the lead down to 4.  

The Clippers easily lost all the lead with a little over a minute to go.  But with a chance to take the lead, Devin Harris missed with 28 seconds left and then Brevin Knight was fouled on the rebound.  This put LA in a bind.  Two more misses and the NBA might start smelling a tank - so Brevin pretty much had to make the free throws.  Still, the loss seemed assured, since the Mavs still had 28 seconds left and were only down two.  

The Clippers hadn't counted on Jason Terry dropping the ball out of bounds on the inbounds play.  

With 27 seconds left, a two point lead and the ball, a team that wanted to win would only have to do one thing - hold the ball until the very last second of the 24 second shot clock.  By simply hitting the rim at the end of the shot clock, by the time Dallas could grab the rebound and call timeout, they would be faced with 2 seconds or fewer on the clock.  By simply holding the ball and doing nothing, the game clock would be down to 3 seconds.  With that little time left, a team has to have their first option work - it's not easy to score in that situation.

Not to worry.  Tim Thomas brilliantly forced a terrible shot with 6 seconds on the shot clock, giving Dallas a full 8 to work with.  As a player with a long history of bonehead plays, the league won't even suspect that he was throwing the game - it's just another stupid decision in Thomas' career.  That's the genius of it.

With plenty of time to work, Dirk Nowitzki could draw a double team, kick to Jason Terry who would swing to a wide open Jerry Stackhouse.  With no rotation in sight (and let's face it, with the clock down to 1, the only thing left to do in that situation was rotate to Stackhouse), he calmly buried the three for the win.  

Everybody goes home happy.

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beautiful shot by Stackhouse
just to be objective.  He shot it calmly and cooly, like it was practice.  You could tell it was on line as it left his hand.  No doubt.  

Oh well, I'm taking it in stride this year.

by mp on Jan 14, 2008 10:01 AM PST reply actions  

Quality Loss
I think this concept needs some serious attention.  This post is a good start.  

I'm actually pretty excited that I didn't see the game or even know about.  Got caught up in other weekend activities, including going to UCLA-Wash St., and opened up the sports page on Sunday and said, really?  that game was last night?  and that happened--c'mon, really?  Like I said, I'm very happy that I was blissfully unaware.

When the Clips had a lead against SA, even after the loss to NO, I was thinking there was still an "impossible dream" scenario.  The Clips lost at least two or three or four winnable games in late Nov/early Dec, but what happens if they stun us and run the table of SA, Orlando, Dallas, Phoenix, etc., or win virtually all of them and stay in contention... it was the last gasp of life from Fortress Clipper, and we're well past that now.

I started on some of this last week, and of course many people have been working the hopeless side from the beginning.  The Fix the Clips diaries will work along these lines.  But it seems like the most important analysis we can make at this point is on the art of tanking.  We know it exists not only because of teams like Boston last year, but also the Clips/Grizzlies situation two years ago, which was a nicely-executed mini-tank.  And we shouldn't forget Dallas tanking that game last year so that they could get GSW in the playoffs--good move.

It's hard to say just how the tank should be managed at this point.  It will be tough because it's a long season, the Clippers are actually a pretty good team, and they're going to be getting some of their best players back (no!).  The losses are not necessarily going to be so easy to come by.  But I said it last week:  a "moral victory" is actually a quality loss.

And as CS relates so well in this post, this particular game seems to have been an especially hard-earned quality loss.  But that's why the Clips have Tim Thomas.  Well-played.    

by zhivclip on Jan 14, 2008 12:12 PM PST reply actions  

Quick stats
The 3 main guys to touch the ball on the last possession, Thomas/Mobley/Knight, have over 30 combined seasons of NBA experience.

They have played in over 2000 NBA regular season games and 88 playoff games.

They have earned almost $200 million.

by John R on Jan 14, 2008 2:50 PM PST reply actions  

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